| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48LEAN | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.3761% | 47% +114 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET+100 | +13.9%-6.5% | ||
| 45LEAN | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.0467% | 54% -120 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-135 | +12.3%-5.2% | ||
| 42WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.2263% | 52% -108 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-125 | +11.2%-6.3% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 1.8572% | 61% -160 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-190 | +10.0%-6.2% | ||
| 34WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.2664% | 58% -139 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-160 | +6.0%-5.4% | ||
| 30WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.8253% | 48% +106 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-105 | +4.8%-5.3% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.6552% | 47% +112 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ESPN BET+100 | +4.3%-5.5% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.3060% | 56% -126 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Caesars-145 | +4.3%-5.8% | ||
| 25WATCH | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.8453% | 49% +104 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-110 | +3.5%-6.5% | ||
| 23WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.1461% | 58% -138 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | FanDuel-154 | +3.3%-4.2% | ||
| -- | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 1.5080% | 60% -151 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 75% | Hard Rock-175 | +20.3%-5.5% | ||
| -- | Over 3.5 Shots on Goal | 3.851% | 51% -102 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | FanDuel+102 | +0.4%+2.0% | ||
| -- | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.1464% | -- | L5 60% · L10 60% | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Skater shots on goal from time on ice and recent shot rate. A trained research model exists for this stat and found no edge against prices.