NHL projections
Sat, Oct 17· player props, the expected value beside the lineSIDE
SIGNAL
300 rowsUNVALIDATEDLines have not posted yet: projections only
| SCORE | PLAYER & MATCHUP | MARKET & LINE | MODEL PROJ | CONSENSUS FAIR | L5 / L10 HIT % | BEST BOOK & PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -- |  Charlie McAvoyBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 2.22-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Will BorgenBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.55-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Nikita ZadorovBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.47-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Hampus LindholmBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.32-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Drew DoughtyLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.24-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Anze KopitarLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.10-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Alex LaferriereLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.63-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Quinton ByfieldLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.62-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  David PastrnakBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.52-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Pavel ZachaBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.48-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Adrian KempeLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.27-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Artemi PanarinLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.10-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | David PastrnakBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 1.16-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Artemi PanarinLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.71-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Pavel ZachaBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.69-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Charlie McAvoyBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.66-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Adrian KempeLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.66-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Alex LaferriereLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.64-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Quinton ByfieldLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.51-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Hampus LindholmBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.45-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Will BorgenBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.34-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Anze KopitarLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.31-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Nikita ZadorovBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.30-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Drew DoughtyLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.17-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jeremy SwaymanBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 26.6-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Joonas KorpisaloBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 23.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Anton ForsbergLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 22.9-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Darcy KuemperLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 20.0-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | David PastrnakBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 3.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Quinton ByfieldLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 3.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Alex LaferriereLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.98-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Adrian KempeLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.86-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Artemi PanarinLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.60-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Charlie McAvoyBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.78-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Anze KopitarLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.64-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Pavel ZachaBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.52-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Nikita ZadorovBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.29-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Hampus LindholmBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.10-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Drew DoughtyLAK v BOS · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 0.99-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Will BorgenBOS v LAK · 8:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 0.50-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Alexandre CarrierMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 2.09-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Mike MathesonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.77-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Rasmus DahlinBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.62-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Kaiden GuhleMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.59-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Noah DobsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.59-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Mattias SamuelssonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.35-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Lane HutsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.25-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Nick SuzukiMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.73-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Owen PowerBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.72-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tage ThompsonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.61-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Zach BensonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.57-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jack QuinnBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 0.20-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Tage ThompsonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 1.12-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Nick SuzukiMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 1.11-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Rasmus DahlinBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 1.10-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Lane HutsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 1.04-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Jack QuinnBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.92-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Zach BensonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.80-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Owen PowerBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.74-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Mattias SamuelssonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.73-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Alexandre CarrierMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.33-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Kaiden GuhleMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.31-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Noah DobsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.23-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Mike MathesonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Points (no line yet) | 0.23-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jakub DobesMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 26.0-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Samuel MontembeaultMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 22.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Colten EllisBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 22.6-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 20.8-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jacob FowlerMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 20.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Alex LyonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Saves (no line yet) | 19.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Tage ThompsonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 3.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Rasmus DahlinBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.95-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Nick SuzukiMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.50-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Jack QuinnBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 2.33-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Zach BensonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.89-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Noah DobsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.84-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Lane HutsonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.72-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Mike MathesonMTL v BUF · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.43-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Mattias SamuelssonBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 1.35-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Owen PowerBUF v MTL · 6:00 PM CT | Shots on Goal (no line yet) | 0.82-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Model proj is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Consensus fair is the de-vigged market probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. L5 / L10 count the recent games that landed on the listed side of the line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows without a line are rotation projections: prices have not posted.
NHL systems
7 systems · unvalidated projections · not in the public results| SYSTEM | MARKET | TYPE | DISTRIBUTION | STATUS | TODAY (ROWS / PRICED) | LIVE MAE (ENGINE / L5) | RESEARCH MAE (MODEL / BASE) | BRIER | BLEND c (t) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOG | Shots on Goal | Prop | Empirical EWM + NegBin |