NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47LEAN |  Tony Pollard TEN | TEN@ INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 54.5 Rush Yds | 60.156% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | DraftKings-110 | +5.5%-4.3% |
| 38WATCH |  Cam WardTEN | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 11.5 Rush Yds | 10.755% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX-111 | +4.6%-5.0% |
| 36WATCH |  Tyjae SpearsTEN | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 12.5 Rush Yds | 14.157% | 50% +100 4 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | bet365-110 | +6.9%-4.6% |
| 36WATCH |  Seth McGowanIND | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 14.5 Rush Yds | 13.754% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-102 | +3.5%-1.0% |
| 12WATCH |  Daniel JonesIND | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 6.5 Rush Yds | 6.651% | 50% +101 9 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | Novig+100 | +1.2%-0.4% |
| -- |  Jonathan TaylorIND | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 89.5 Rush Yds | 69.667% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-110 | +16.7%-4.5% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.