NFL projections
Sat, Oct 17· player props, the expected value beside the lineSIDE
SIGNAL
39 rowsUNVALIDATEDLines have not posted yet: projections only
| SCORE | PLAYER & MATCHUP | MARKET & LINE | MODEL PROJ | CONSENSUS FAIR | L5 / L10 HIT % | BEST BOOK & PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -- |  C.J. StroudHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 35.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Trevor LawrenceJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 31.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Davis MillsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 26.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | C.J. StroudHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 22.6-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Trevor LawrenceJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 20.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Davis MillsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 15.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | C.J. StroudHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 270.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Trevor LawrenceJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 252.6-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Davis MillsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 155.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Nico CollinsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 71.8-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Parker WashingtonJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 67.0-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Brenton StrangeJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 43.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Dalton SchultzHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 42.9-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jakobi MeyersJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 41.9-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Xavier HutchinsonHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 36.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jayden HigginsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 36.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Kayshon BoutteHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 33.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Christian KirkHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 32.9-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Brian Thomas Jr.JAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 32.6-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Nico CollinsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 5.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Parker WashingtonJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 4.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Dalton SchultzHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 4.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Brenton StrangeJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 4.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Jakobi MeyersJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 3.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Christian KirkHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 3.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Jayden HigginsHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 3.1-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Xavier HutchinsonHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 2.98-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Kayshon BoutteHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 2.34-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Brian Thomas Jr.JAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 2.10-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Bhayshul TutenJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 12.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Woody MarksHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 10.7-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jawhar JordanHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 9.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  David MontgomeryHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 8.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- |  Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 7.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Bhayshul TutenJAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 47.0-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Woody MarksHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 36.3-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Jawhar JordanHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 35.4-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAC v HOU · 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 28.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| -- | David MontgomeryHOU v JAC · 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 24.2-- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Model proj is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Consensus fair is the de-vigged market probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. L5 / L10 count the recent games that landed on the listed side of the line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows without a line are rotation projections: prices have not posted.
NFL systems
10 systems · unvalidated projections · not in the public results| SYSTEM | MARKET | TYPE | DISTRIBUTION | STATUS | TODAY (ROWS / PRICED) | LIVE MAE (ENGINE / L5) | RESEARCH MAE (MODEL / BASE) | BRIER | BLEND c (t) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | Passing Yards | Prop | Empirical EWM + Normal |