NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51LEAN |  Kenny Gainwell TB |  PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 11.5 Rush Yds | 15.164% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Hard Rock-115 | +13.1%-4.8% |
| 29WATCH |  Jaylen WarrenPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 59.5 Rush Yds | 71.160% | 50% +100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig+104 | +9.8%+1.9%MODEL + MARKET |
| 18WATCH |  Bucky IrvingTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 64.5 Rush Yds | 74.258% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+102 | +7.7%+1.2%MODEL + MARKET |
| -- |  DK MetcalfPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Rush Yds | 2.0987% | 21% +375 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 10% | bet365+350 | +66.4%-5.3% |
| -- |  Germie BernardPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Rush Yds | 1.1680% | 24% +324 1 bk | L5 25% · L10 25% | bet365+300 | +56.9%-5.6% |
| -- |  Aaron RodgersPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Rush Yds | 4.291% | 48% +108 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | FanDuel+102 | +42.7%-2.9% |
| -- |  Rico DowdlePIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 20.5 Rush Yds | 30.068% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | Caesars-112 | +18.4%-5.4% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.