| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55LEAN | Over 27.5 Rush Yds | 34.662% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ProphetX-108 | +12.2%-3.7% | ||
| 52LEAN | Under 62.5 Rush Yds | 50.564% | 50% -101 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-112 | +13.8%-5.0% | ||
| 41WATCH | Over 17.5 Rush Yds | 19.255% | 45% +124 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 33% | Novig+113 | +10.7%-4.8% | ||
| 39WATCH | Over 6.5 Rush Yds | 7.960% | 51% -104 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | bet365-120 | +9.4%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Under 65.5 Rush Yds | 40.383% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 89% | ProphetX-111 | +32.6%-5.0% | ||
| -- | Under 8.5 Rush Yds | 5.679% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | DraftKings-110 | +28.6%-4.5% | ||
| -- | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 49.3 | -- | L10 avg 56.4 · szn 54.3 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Rushing yards from carry volume, yards per carry and the opponent's run defense.