NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55LEAN |  Keaton Mitchell LAC | LAC@ KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 18.5 Rush Yds | 23.863% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-101 | +13.1%-0.5% |
| 43WATCH |  Kenneth Walker IIIKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 90.5 Rush Yds | 10357% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Pinnacle-111 | +7.2%-5.0% |
| 33WATCH | Patrick Mahomes IIKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 14.5 Rush Yds | 15.855% | 50% +102 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +5.5%-2.7% |
| 23WATCH |  Justin HerbertLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 24.5 Rush Yds | 30.862% | 50% -100 11 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig+102 | +12.1%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET |
| -- |  Kimani VidalLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 16.5 Rush Yds | 31.676% | 51% -102 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-109 | +25.9%-3.1% |
| -- |  Omarion HamptonLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 31.5 Rush Yds | 44.967% | 50% -102 8 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | Parx-113 | +17.0%-5.0% |
| -- |  Emmett JohnsonKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 14.5 Rush Yds | 11.565% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 25% · L10 25% | Novig+102 | +15.1%+1.0% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.