NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54LEAN |  Trevor Lawrence JAC |  HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 12.5 Rush Yds | 16.263% | 51% -104 7 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Parx-117 | +12.3%-5.4% |
| 19WATCH |  C.J. StroudHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 9.5 Rush Yds | 9.451% | 49% +104 9 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | Novig+104 | +1.8%-0.1% |
| -- |  Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 15.5 Rush Yds | 28.275% | 50% +101 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | Parx-108 | +25.4%-4.2% |
| -- |  Bhayshul TutenJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 63.5 Rush Yds | 47.070% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 0% · L10 50% | Pinnacle-104 | +20.2%-1.9% |
| -- |  Woody MarksHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 46.5 Rush Yds | 36.366% | 50% +102 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | DraftKings-110 | +16.8%-5.4% |
| -- |  David MontgomeryHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 24.2 | -- | L10 avg 31.1 · szn 27.6 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.