| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10WATCH | Under 10.5 Rush Yds | 10.152% | 51% -105 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | BetMGM-111 | +1.1%-2.7% | ||
| -- | Under 42.5 Rush Yds | 22.990% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | BetMGM-111 | +40.2%-5.0% | ||
| -- | Under 5.5 Rush Yds | 4.071% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Caesars-109 | +21.1%-4.1% | ||
| -- | Under 9.5 Rush Yds | 6.971% | 51% -104 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX-111 | +20.3%-3.0% | ||
| -- | Under 68.5 Rush Yds | 54.166% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | FanDuel-114 | +15.5%-6.1% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Rushing yards from carry volume, yards per carry and the opponent's run defense.