| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30WATCH | James Cook III | Over 93.5 Rush Yds | 99.354% | 50% +101 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-111 | +3.7%-5.4% | |
| 5WATCH | Under 55.5 Rush Yds | 54.351% | 51% -103 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | FanDuel-114 | +0.6%-4.8% | ||
| -- | Under 1.5 Rush Yds | 0.06100% | 50% -101 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | DraftKings-112 | +49.9%-5.1% | ||
| -- | Over 6.5 Rush Yds | 11.374% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 0% · L10 20% | Novig-102 | +23.8%-1.0% | ||
| -- | Over 14.5 Rush Yds | 21.769% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-111 | +19.2%-5.0% | ||
| -- | Over 33.5 Rush Yds | 49.469% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Pinnacle-111 | +18.6%-5.0% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Rushing yards from carry volume, yards per carry and the opponent's run defense.