NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47LEAN |  Derrick Henry BAL | BAL@ CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 89.5 Rush Yds | 97.155% | 50% -100 11 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | ProphetX-108 | +4.7%-3.7% |
| 37WATCH |  Deshaun WatsonCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 28.5 Rush Yds | 31.856% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +6.3%-1.9% |
| 6WATCH |  Tyler HuntleyBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 24.5 Rush Yds | 24.351% | 50% +100 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 57% | Parx-110 | +0.6%-4.7% |
| -- |  Justice HillBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 11.5 Rush Yds | 23.478% | 51% -103 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | Novig-104 | +27.0%-0.3% |
| -- |  Audric EstiméCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 43.5 | -- | L10 avg 39.6 · szn 39.6 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Quinshon JudkinsCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 43.6 | -- | L10 avg 42.8 · szn 44.2 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.