NFL Rushing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED85 projections77 with a posted line3 model + marketMAE 27.1 vs 28.2 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40WATCH |  Blake Corum LAR |  ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Under 42.5 Rush Yds | 36.959% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Caesars-112 | +9.1%-5.4% |
| 17WATCH |  Kyren WilliamsLAR | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Under 69.5 Rush Yds | 67.852% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Novig+100 | +1.5%0.0% |
| -- |  Matthew StaffordLAR | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 0.5 Rush Yds | 4.391% | 47% +113 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | DraftKings+112 | +43.9%-0.5% |
| -- |  Tyler AllgeierARI | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Under 46.5 Rush Yds | 23.992% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ProphetX-111 | +42.2%-5.0% |
| -- |  Jacoby BrissettARI | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 6.5 Rush Yds | 12.677% | 51% -103 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-111 | +26.0%-3.5% |
| -- |  Jeremiyah LoveARI | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 19.5 Rush Yds | 47.181% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | Bovada-1600 | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.