NFL Receptions
PROP / UNVALIDATED152 projections146 with a posted line28 model + marketMAE 1.820 vs 1.887 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64LEAN |  Nico Collins HOU | HOU@ JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 5.5 Receptions | 5.259% | 46% +116 11 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | bet365+115 | +13.0%-0.3% |
| 61LEAN |  Dalton SchultzHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 3.5 Receptions | 4.359% | 47% +113 10 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | ProphetX+108 | +12.5%-2.5% |
| 56LEAN |  Brian Thomas Jr.JAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.1060% | 52% -108 12 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | Pinnacle-120 | +8.2%-4.6% |
| 55LEAN |  Parker WashingtonJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 4.5 Receptions | 4.456% | 49% +106 12 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | Novig+104 | +7.6%-0.8% |
| 48LEAN | Chris RodriguezJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 0.5 Receptions | 0.3372% | 58% -138 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | bet365-160 | +14.0%-5.7% |
| 43WATCH |  Brenton StrangeJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 3.5 Receptions | 4.359% | 55% -124 11 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | DraftKings-129 | +3.7%-1.6% |
| 41WATCH |  Nate BoerkircherJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 0.5 Receptions | 1.0965% | 61% -157 9 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | ProphetX-164 | +4.0%-1.8% |
| 33WATCH |  Marvin Harrison Jr.HOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.0058% | 55% -122 11 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | ProphetX-125 | +2.9%-1.0% |
| 32WATCH |  Jaylin NoelHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.2664% | 58% -138 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | bet365-160 | +6.0%-5.7% |
| 22WATCH |  Jakobi MeyersJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 3.5 Receptions | 3.443% | 41% +144 10 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | ProphetX+136 | +2.2%-3.3% |
| 17WATCH |  Kayshon BoutteHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 2.5 Receptions | 2.3441% | 39% +157 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | BetMGM+150 | +2.0%-2.7% |
| 4WATCH |  Josh CameronJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 1.7150% | 50% +101 11 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig+104 | +0.1%+1.4%MODEL + MARKET |
| -- |  Xavier HutchinsonHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.9877% | 52% -106 13 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ProphetX-109 | +25.7%-1.1% |
| -- |  Bhayshul TutenJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 1.5 Receptions | 1.3163% | 42% +135 11 bk | L5 20% · L10 60% | Pinnacle+140 | +20.4%+2.0% |
| -- |  Woody MarksHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 2.5 Receptions | 1.9968% | 48% +109 12 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | Parx+110 | +20.2%+0.5% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.