| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50LEAN | Under 72.5 Rec Yds | 59.862% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-112 | +11.7%-5.4% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 63.5 Rec Yds | 56.357% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+102 | +8.0%-0.8% | ||
| 18WATCH | Over 39.5 Rec Yds | 39.951% | 48% +107 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+104 | +2.3%-1.4% | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 28.1 | -- | L10 avg 31.0 · szn 31.0 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 29.4 | -- | L10 avg 30.4 · szn 27.0 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 43.6 | -- | L10 avg 39.9 · szn 41.2 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 43.8 | -- | L10 avg 42.4 · szn 42.5 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 53.2 | -- | L10 avg 58.2 · szn 50.8 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.