NFL Receiving Yards

PROP / UNVALIDATED

151 projections144 with a posted line8 model + marketMAE 25.9 vs 27.1 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results

Lines updated 12 min ago

SCORE	PLAYER	GAME	MARKET & LINE	MODEL	MARKET FAIR	FORM	BEST PRICE	EDGE / EV
58LEAN	Kayshon BoutteHOU	HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT	Over 24.5 Rec Yds	33.363%	49% +104 7 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig+104	+14.4%-0.1%
58LEAN	DJ MooreBUF	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Under 49.5 Rec Yds	42.459%	50% -100 12 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	DraftKings-111	+9.2%-5.0%
58LEAN	Ashton JeantyLV	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 25.5 Rec Yds	31.260%	51% -104 12 bk	L5 80% · L10 50%	FanDuel-114	+8.8%-4.2%
56LEAN	Darnell MooneyNYG	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 19.5 Rec Yds	23.759%	50% -100 11 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-110	+9.2%-4.5%
55LEAN	Tony PollardTEN	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 9.5 Rec Yds	7.762%	49% +104 7 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ProphetX-101	+13.0%-2.5%
55LEAN	Bijan RobinsonATL	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 28.5 Rec Yds	36.962%	50% -100 8 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ProphetX-112	+12.1%-5.2%
54LEAN	Germie BernardPIT	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 42.5 Rec Yds	34.462%	49% +104 7 bk	L5 75% · L10 75%	Pinnacle+101	+12.8%-1.3%
54LEAN	Garrett WilsonNYJ	NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 72.5 Rec Yds	58.063%	50% -100 7 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	Pinnacle-113	+12.6%-5.8%
54LEAN	Zay FlowersBAL	BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 58.5 Rec Yds	78.063%	50% -102 7 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ProphetX-111	+12.3%-4.2%
53LEAN	Justice HillBAL	BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 9.5 Rec Yds	11.760%	50% -100 9 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Parx-109	+9.7%-4.1%
52LEAN	Chris Godwin Jr.TB	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 26.5 Rec Yds	35.563%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	Pinnacle-112	+12.6%-5.4%
52LEAN	Cade OttonTB	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 29.5 Rec Yds	35.458%	50% -101 10 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig-104	+8.0%-1.3%
51LEAN	Matthew GoldenGB	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Under 65.5 Rec Yds	53.762%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 40% · L10 60%	Novig+100	+11.9%0.0%
51LEAN	D'Andre SwiftCHI	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 15.5 Rec Yds	19.461%	50% -100 7 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	ProphetX-112	+10.8%-5.4%
50LEAN	Mike EvansSF	WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT	Under 72.5 Rec Yds	59.862%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	ProphetX-112	+11.7%-5.4%
49LEAN	Khalil ShakirBUF	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 38.5 Rec Yds	52.464%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	bet365-115	+14.4%-6.5%
49LEAN	Kenyon SadiqNYJ	NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 19.5 Rec Yds	25.161%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	ProphetX-112	+11.2%-5.4%
49LEAN	Colston LovelandCHI	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 36.5 Rec Yds	45.160%	50% -100 7 bk	L5 20% · L10 50%	ProphetX-112	+10.3%-5.4%
48LEAN	Rashod BatemanBAL	BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 21.5 Rec Yds	28.863%	50% +100 4 bk	L5 80% · L10 50%	Parx-113	+12.9%-5.9%
48LEAN	Tyler WarrenIND	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 50.5 Rec Yds	41.062%	52% -107 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	FanDuel-114	+10.7%-3.0%
48LEAN	Pat FreiermuthPIT	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 36.5 Rec Yds	30.859%	50% +101 7 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	DraftKings-109	+9.5%-4.5%
48LEAN	Travis KelceKC	LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT	Under 52.5 Rec Yds	46.856%	50% -100 10 bk	L5 40% · L10 60%	DraftKings-110	+6.3%-4.3%
47LEAN	Darren WallerCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 29.5 Rec Yds	30.952%	50% -100 11 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Novig+106	+2.3%+3.0%MODEL + MARKET
47LEAN	Makai LemonPHI	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 16.5 Rec Yds	21.862%	50% +101 4 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Parx-109	+12.4%-4.7%
47LEAN	Rhamondre StevensonNE	NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 19.5 Rec Yds	23.058%	50% -100 8 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Pinnacle-112	+8.1%-5.4%
47LEAN	Alvin KamaraNO	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 11.5 Rec Yds	13.257%	50% -100 9 bk	L5 20% · L10 40%	Caesars-109	+6.8%-4.1%
46LEAN	Juwan JohnsonNO	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 39.5 Rec Yds	50.061%	51% -105 6 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ProphetX-112	+9.9%-3.2%
46LEAN	Tyler HigbeeLAR	ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT	Over 34.5 Rec Yds	42.060%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	ESPN BET-110	+9.8%-4.5%
46LEAN	Zachariah BranchATL	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 10.5 Rec Yds	9.555%	50% -100 10 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Novig-104	+5.4%-1.9%
45LEAN	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 38.5 Rec Yds	48.961%	51% -102 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	BetMGM-115	+10.2%-5.4%
45LEAN	Kalif RaymondCHI	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 26.5 Rec Yds	31.859%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	BetMGM+100	+9.1%0.0%
44WATCH	Jakobi MeyersJAC	HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT	Over 32.5 Rec Yds	41.962%	51% -102 4 bk	L5 80% · L10 80%	DraftKings-111	+11.1%-4.0%
44WATCH	Rome OdunzeCHI	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 41.5 Rec Yds	51.861%	51% -104 5 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ProphetX-112	+9.8%-3.4%
44WATCH	Brock BowersLV	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Under 80.5 Rec Yds	68.460%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 70%	Novig-108	+9.6%-3.7%
44WATCH	Davante AdamsLAR	ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT	Over 58.5 Rec Yds	69.659%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	BetRivers-114	+8.8%-6.0%
43WATCH	Javonte WilliamsDAL	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Under 13.5 Rec Yds	11.758%	49% +104 5 bk	L5 20% · L10 50%	Caesars-110	+9.1%-6.3%
43WATCH	Chris OlaveNO	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 79.5 Rec Yds	85.954%	50% -100 10 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	Novig-102	+4.0%-1.0%
42WATCH	Tommy TrembleCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 13.5 Rec Yds	17.161%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 40%	bet365-115	+10.8%-6.5%
42WATCH	Puka NacuaLAR	ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT	Over 92.5 Rec Yds	11260%	51% -104 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	FanDuel-114	+8.7%-4.2%
42WATCH	Darnell WashingtonPIT	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 21.5 Rec Yds	25.558%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	DraftKings-113	+7.8%-5.5%
41WATCH	Ryan FlournoyDAL	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 31.5 Rec Yds	37.959%	50% -100 4 bk	L5 40% · L10 60%	Novig-113	+9.2%-5.8%
40WATCH	Malachi FieldsNYG	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 22.5 Rec Yds	27.860%	50% -100 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Pinnacle-112	+10.0%-5.4%
40WATCH	Chuba HubbardCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 16.5 Rec Yds	14.657%	49% +104 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	Parx-109	+7.9%-6.1%
40WATCH	Michael MayerLV	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 27.5 Rec Yds	30.455%	51% -104 8 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig-108	+4.3%-1.9%
40WATCH	George KittleSF	WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT	Under 63.5 Rec Yds	56.357%	49% +104 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	ProphetX+112	+8.1%+3.9%MODEL + MARKET
38WATCH	Keenan AllenIND	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 43.5 Rec Yds	36.161%	48% +107 4 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	ProphetX+115	+12.6%+4.0%MODEL + MARKET
38WATCH	Isaiah WilliamsNYJ	NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 17.5 Rec Yds	21.259%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	bet365-115	+8.8%-6.5%
38WATCH	Tre TuckerLV	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 38.5 Rec Yds	43.156%	50% -101 6 bk	L5 80% · L10 60%	ProphetX-112	+5.6%-5.0%
37WATCH	Denzel BostonCLE	BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 50.5 Rec Yds	60.758%	50% -100 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	DraftKings-114	+8.4%-6.1%
37WATCH	Brenton StrangeJAC	HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT	Over 37.5 Rec Yds	43.157%	50% -102 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ProphetX-112	+6.4%-4.6%
36WATCH	Malik NabersNYG	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 71.5 Rec Yds	64.456%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 67%	Pinnacle-110	+5.8%-4.5%
36WATCH	Jahan DotsonATL	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 23.5 Rec Yds	22.154%	50% -100 9 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	ProphetX-105	+3.5%-2.4%
35WATCH	Mark AndrewsBAL	BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 29.5 Rec Yds	26.556%	51% -102 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	ProphetX+102	+5.3%+2.1%MODEL + MARKET
35WATCH	Dontayvion WicksPHI	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 30.5 Rec Yds	33.955%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 80% · L10 60%	ProphetX-113	+5.0%-5.8%
34WATCH	Hunter HenryNE	NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 31.5 Rec Yds	35.256%	50% +101 4 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Caesars-111	+6.0%-5.6%
33WATCH	Kendrick BourneARI	ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT	Under 35.5 Rec Yds	31.557%	52% -110 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	FanDuel-114	+4.4%-1.8%
32WATCH	Brycen TremayneCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 13.5 Rec Yds	15.356%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 40% · L10 30%	bet365-115	+6.1%-6.5%
32WATCH	Kendre MillerNO	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 3.5 Rec Yds	3.956%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	bet365-115	+6.0%-6.5%
32WATCH	Tyjae SpearsTEN	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 14.5 Rec Yds	16.055%	50% -100 4 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	Pinnacle-110	+4.9%-4.5%
31WATCH	Josh DownsIND	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 48.5 Rec Yds	40.061%	50% +100 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Pinnacle+104	+11.3%+1.8%MODEL + MARKET
31WATCH	George PickensDAL	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 67.5 Rec Yds	76.556%	51% -104 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig-111	+5.5%-3.3%
29WATCH	Quentin JohnstonLAC	LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 35.5 Rec Yds	38.354%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	BetRivers-115	+3.6%-6.3%
29WATCH	DK MetcalfPIT	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 50.5 Rec Yds	47.453%	50% +100 6 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	Novig+100	+3.4%-0.1%
28WATCH	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 64.5 Rec Yds	68.553%	50% +102 5 bk	L5 80% · L10 60%	Novig-104	+3.5%-2.8%
27WATCH	Noah GrayKC	LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 12.5 Rec Yds	13.654%	51% -104 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	DraftKings-109	+3.4%-2.4%
27WATCH	Parker WashingtonJAC	HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT	Over 62.5 Rec Yds	67.053%	50% -101 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	DraftKings-113	+3.3%-5.4%
27WATCH	Ladd McConkeyLAC	LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT	Under 41.5 Rec Yds	39.453%	50% -100 8 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	Novig-104	+2.7%-1.9%
26WATCH	Emeka EgbukaTB	PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 36.5 Rec Yds	39.053%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig-108	+3.2%-3.7%
25WATCH	CeeDee LambDAL	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 80.5 Rec Yds	85.153%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Novig-111	+2.9%-5.0%
25WATCH	MarShawn LloydGB	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 11.5 Rec Yds	12.153%	50% +102 6 bk	L5 20% · L10 20%	Novig-104	+2.9%-2.7%
23WATCH	Jonathan TaylorIND	TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT	Over 18.5 Rec Yds	19.553%	50% +101 4 bk	L5 60% · L10 40%	DraftKings-114	+3.1%-6.6%
22WATCH	Tucker KraftGB	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 50.5 Rec Yds	53.153%	50% +101 4 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	DraftKings-110	+2.9%-5.0%
21WATCH	Devaughn VeleNO	NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 43.5 Rec Yds	41.553%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	DraftKings-112	+2.6%-5.4%
21WATCH	Christian McCaffreySF	WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT	Over 39.5 Rec Yds	39.951%	48% +108 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	Novig+104	+2.6%-2.0%
20WATCH	Christian WatsonGB	DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT	Over 74.5 Rec Yds	78.052%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	DraftKings-111	+2.5%-5.0%
20WATCH	Kimani VidalLAC	LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT	Over 8.5 Rec Yds	8.952%	50% +101 6 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Novig-104	+2.4%-2.6%
20WATCH	Drake LondonATL	CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 89.5 Rec Yds	85.852%	50% -100 6 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	Novig-104	+2.3%-1.9%
18WATCH	Bhayshul TutenJAC	HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT	Under 9.5 Rec Yds	9.053%	50% -100 7 bk	L5 20% · L10 50%	ProphetX+102	+3.1%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET
18WATCH	Dalton KincaidBUF	BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT	Under 49.5 Rec Yds	48.751%	50% -100 9 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	Novig+102	+0.9%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET
16WATCH	Jalen CokerCAR	CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT	Under 55.5 Rec Yds	53.252%	50% -100 5 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	Novig+102	+2.3%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET

Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.

NFL Receiving Yards

Market prices

Methodology