NFL Receiving Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED152 projections145 with a posted line7 model + marketMAE 25.9 vs 27.1 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54LEAN |  Germie Bernard PIT | PIT@ TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 42.5 Rec Yds | 34.462% | 49% +104 7 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | Pinnacle+101 | +12.8%-1.3% |
| 52LEAN |  Chris Godwin Jr.TB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 26.5 Rec Yds | 35.563% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Pinnacle-112 | +12.6%-5.4% |
| 52LEAN |  Cade OttonTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 29.5 Rec Yds | 35.458% | 50% -101 10 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-104 | +8.0%-1.3% |
| 48LEAN |  Pat FreiermuthPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 36.5 Rec Yds | 30.859% | 50% +101 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-109 | +9.5%-4.5% |
| 42WATCH |  Darnell WashingtonPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 21.5 Rec Yds | 25.558% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | DraftKings-113 | +7.8%-5.5% |
| 29WATCH |  DK MetcalfPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 50.5 Rec Yds | 47.453% | 50% +100 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Novig+100 | +3.4%-0.1% |
| 26WATCH |  Emeka EgbukaTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 36.5 Rec Yds | 39.053% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-108 | +3.2%-3.7% |
| 6WATCH |  Jaylen WarrenPIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 28.5 Rec Yds | 28.750% | 49% +104 7 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | Novig+102 | +0.7%-1.0% |
| -- |  Ted Hurst IIITB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 11.5 Rec Yds | 29.478% | 50% +100 8 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ProphetX-112 | +27.9%-5.5% |
| -- |  Rico DowdlePIT | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 7.5 Rec Yds | 15.074% | 50% -101 9 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | DraftKings-111 | +23.8%-4.6% |
| -- |  Kenny GainwellTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 12.5 Rec Yds | 22.471% | 50% +100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig+102 | +21.2%+0.8% |
| -- |  Bucky IrvingTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 10.5 Rec Yds | 17.169% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig-111 | +18.7%-5.0% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.