| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48LEAN | Under 52.5 Rec Yds | 46.856% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | DraftKings-110 | +6.3%-4.3% | ||
| 29WATCH | Over 35.5 Rec Yds | 38.354% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | BetRivers-115 | +3.6%-6.3% | ||
| 27WATCH | Over 12.5 Rec Yds | 13.654% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-109 | +3.4%-2.4% | ||
| 25WATCH | Under 41.5 Rec Yds | 39.453% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig-104 | +2.7%-1.9% | ||
| 20WATCH | Over 8.5 Rec Yds | 8.952% | 50% +101 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +2.4%-2.6% | ||
| 13WATCH | Over 20.5 Rec Yds | 21.152% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig-111 | +1.6%-5.0% | ||
| -- | Under 25.5 Rec Yds | 3.5100% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | Parx-112 | +50.0%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Under 15.5 Rec Yds | 7.094% | 51% -103 9 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX-112 | +43.0%-4.2% | ||
| -- | Under 23.5 Rec Yds | 12.387% | 51% -103 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | FanDuel-114 | +36.6%-4.8% | ||
| -- | Over 6.5 Rec Yds | 16.079% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | ProphetX-112 | +28.5%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Over 13.5 Rec Yds | 25.773% | 50% -101 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Pinnacle-113 | +22.3%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Under 49.5 Rec Yds | 34.272% | 50% -102 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Novig-108 | +22.0%-2.8% | ||
| -- | Over 6.5 Rec Yds | 11.270% | 49% +103 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ProphetX+110 | +20.9%+3.3% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.