| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60LEAN | Over 24.5 Rec Yds | 33.363% | 49% +104 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig+104 | +14.4%-0.1% | ||
| 44WATCH | Over 32.5 Rec Yds | 41.962% | 51% -102 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | DraftKings-111 | +11.1%-4.0% | ||
| 38WATCH | Over 37.5 Rec Yds | 43.157% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Caesars-112 | +6.8%-5.4% | ||
| 27WATCH | Over 62.5 Rec Yds | 67.053% | 50% -101 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | DraftKings-113 | +3.3%-5.4% | ||
| 18WATCH | Under 9.5 Rec Yds | 9.053% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | ProphetX+102 | +3.1%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET | ||
| 9WATCH | Under 73.5 Rec Yds | 71.851% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | bet365-115 | +1.2%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Chris Rodriguez | Over 0.5 Rec Yds | 2.5285% | 37% +170 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 40% | bet365+155 | +48.4%-5.6% | |
| -- | Over 14.5 Rec Yds | 36.378% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-110 | +28.1%-4.5% | ||
| -- | Over 5.5 Rec Yds | 11.175% | 50% +101 6 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | ESPN BET+100 | +24.9%-0.5% | ||
| -- | Over 17.5 Rec Yds | 32.673% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | DraftKings-112 | +22.9%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Under 14.5 Rec Yds | 10.171% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig-102 | +21.1%-1.0% | ||
| -- | Over 21.5 Rec Yds | 34.969% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Parx-113 | +19.0%-5.8% | ||
| -- | Over 15.5 Rec Yds | 24.168% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig+100 | +18.1%0.0% | ||
| -- | Over 17.5 Rec Yds | 26.867% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | bet365-115 | +17.3%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Over 30.5 Rec Yds | 42.965% | 50% +102 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Novig+106 | +15.1%+2.0% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.