| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51LEAN | Under 65.5 Rec Yds | 53.762% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig+100 | +11.9%0.0% | ||
| 43WATCH | Under 13.5 Rec Yds | 11.758% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | Caesars-110 | +9.1%-6.3% | ||
| 41WATCH | Over 31.5 Rec Yds | 37.959% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig-113 | +9.2%-5.8% | ||
| 31WATCH | Over 68.5 Rec Yds | 76.556% | 50% -100 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Caesars-115 | +5.6%-6.3% | ||
| 25WATCH | Over 80.5 Rec Yds | 85.153% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-111 | +2.9%-5.0% | ||
| 25WATCH | Over 11.5 Rec Yds | 12.153% | 50% +102 6 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | Novig-104 | +2.9%-2.7% | ||
| 22WATCH | Over 50.5 Rec Yds | 53.153% | 50% +101 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | DraftKings-110 | +2.9%-5.0% | ||
| 20WATCH | Over 74.5 Rec Yds | 78.052% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-111 | +2.5%-5.0% | ||
| 10WATCH | Under 25.5 Rec Yds | 24.852% | 50% -101 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | BetMGM-115 | +1.3%-6.1% | ||
| -- | Under 14.5 Rec Yds | 8.484% | 50% -102 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | DraftKings-114 | +33.8%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Over 5.5 Rec Yds | 17.883% | 50% -101 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-112 | +32.5%-4.7% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.