| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55LEAN | Over 28.5 Rec Yds | 36.962% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ProphetX-112 | +12.1%-5.2% | ||
| 51LEAN | Over 15.5 Rec Yds | 19.461% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ProphetX-112 | +10.8%-5.4% | ||
| 49LEAN | Over 36.5 Rec Yds | 45.160% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | ProphetX-112 | +10.3%-5.4% | ||
| 46LEAN | Under 10.5 Rec Yds | 9.555% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +5.4%-1.9% | ||
| 45LEAN | Over 26.5 Rec Yds | 31.859% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | BetMGM+100 | +9.1%0.0% | ||
| 44WATCH | Over 41.5 Rec Yds | 51.861% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-112 | +9.8%-3.4% | ||
| 38WATCH | Under 23.5 Rec Yds | 22.154% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-105 | +3.5%-2.4% | ||
| 21WATCH | Under 89.5 Rec Yds | 85.852% | 50% +100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Novig-104 | +2.4%-2.1% | ||
| 6WATCH | Over 49.5 Rec Yds | 50.251% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Pinnacle-112 | +0.7%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Over 2.5 Rec Yds | 6.580% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 22% | bet365-115 | +29.9%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Over 9.5 Rec Yds | 16.071% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-105 | +21.2%-2.4% | ||
| -- | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Over 28.5 Rec Yds | 42.667% | 50% +100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Pinnacle-111 | +17.4%-5.1% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.