NFL Receiving Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED152 projections145 with a posted line7 model + marketMAE 25.9 vs 27.1 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58LEAN |  DJ Moore BUF | BUF@ LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 49.5 Rec Yds | 42.459% | 50% -100 12 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | DraftKings-111 | +9.2%-5.0% |
| 58LEAN |  Ashton JeantyLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 25.5 Rec Yds | 31.260% | 51% -104 12 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | FanDuel-114 | +8.8%-4.2% |
| 47LEAN |  Khalil ShakirBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 39.5 Rec Yds | 52.463% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | bet365-115 | +13.4%-6.5% |
| 44WATCH |  Brock BowersLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 80.5 Rec Yds | 68.460% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | Novig-108 | +9.6%-3.7% |
| 40WATCH |  Michael MayerLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 27.5 Rec Yds | 30.455% | 51% -104 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-108 | +4.3%-1.9% |
| 38WATCH |  Tre TuckerLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 38.5 Rec Yds | 43.156% | 50% -101 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-112 | +5.6%-5.0% |
| 18WATCH |  Dalton KincaidBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 49.5 Rec Yds | 48.751% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig+102 | +0.9%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET |
| 16WATCH |  Jalen NailorLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 23.5 Rec Yds | 22.353% | 51% -102 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-110 | +2.2%-3.4% |
| -- |  Ty JohnsonBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 15.5 Rec Yds | 26.572% | 50% -100 10 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Novig+106 | +21.8%+3.0% |
| -- | James Cook IIIBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 7.5 Rec Yds | 11.669% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Pinnacle-112 | +18.9%-5.2% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.