| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54LEAN | Over 58.5 Rec Yds | 78.063% | 50% -102 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-111 | +12.3%-4.2% | ||
| 53LEAN | Over 9.5 Rec Yds | 11.760% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Parx-109 | +9.7%-4.1% | ||
| 51LEAN | Over 20.5 Rec Yds | 28.865% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | Fanatics-110 | +14.5%-4.5% | ||
| 37WATCH | Over 50.5 Rec Yds | 60.758% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-114 | +8.4%-6.1% | ||
| 35WATCH | Under 29.5 Rec Yds | 26.556% | 51% -103 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX+102 | +5.0%+2.7%MODEL + MARKET | ||
| 9WATCH | Over 35.5 Rec Yds | 36.451% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | DraftKings-111 | +1.3%-5.0% | ||
| -- | KC Concepcion Jr. | Under 40.5 Rec Yds | 27.074% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Caesars-112 | +23.8%-5.4% | |
| -- | Over 16.5 Rec Yds | 26.969% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | bet365-115 | +18.8%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Over 6.5 Rec Yds | 9.466% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ProphetX-112 | +15.6%-5.4% | ||
| -- | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 49.3 | -- | L10 avg 50.7 · szn 51.6 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Receiving yards from target volume, yards per target and the opponent's pass defense.