NFL Passing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED39 projections26 with a posted line0 model + marketMAE 66.1 vs 68.8 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42WATCH | Patrick Mahomes II KC |  LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 224.5 Pass Yds | 24660% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-110 | +9.9%-4.5% |
| 6WATCH |  Justin HerbertLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 194.5 Pass Yds | 19351% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | bet365-115 | +0.8%-6.5% |
| -- |  Justin FieldsKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 123 | -- | L10 avg 140 · szn 140 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Market prices
PREVIEW. NFL sportsbook and exchange prices beating the consensus of the other books on the same player, stat and line. Not yet tracked in the public results. Updating live. Kalshi asks are on the +EV terminal.
No prices beating the market
No NFL prop price is beating the other books at the moment. Rows appear around game windows, before the game starts.
Open the +EV terminal