NFL Passing Yards
PROP / UNVALIDATED39 projections25 with a posted line0 model + marketMAE 66.1 vs 68.8 (last-5 average)not tracked in the public results
Lines updated 12 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53LEAN |  Cam Ward TEN | TEN@ INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 200.5 Pass Yds | 17963% | 50% +100 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Pinnacle-102 | +13.2%-1.1% |
| 47LEAN |  Geno Smith NYJ | NYJ@ NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 216.5 Pass Yds | 19562% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-112 | +12.3%-5.2% |
| 45LEAN |  Matthew Stafford LAR |  ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 279.5 Pass Yds | 31563% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Novig-111 | +12.6%-5.0% |
| 45LEAN |  Drake MayeNE | NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 236.5 Pass Yds | 25659% | 49% +106 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+100 | +10.2%-2.8% |
| 44WATCH |  Bryce Young CAR | CAR@ PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 234.5 Pass Yds | 26362% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 60% | Pinnacle-112 | +12.2%-5.4% |
| 44WATCH |  Trevor Lawrence JAC |  HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 228.5 Pass Yds | 25361% | 50% +100 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +10.8%-2.1% |
| 41WATCH |  Kirk Cousins LV |  BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 249.5 Pass Yds | 23358% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-107 | +8.1%-3.3% |
| 40WATCH | Patrick Mahomes II KC |  LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 224.5 Pass Yds | 24660% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-110 | +9.9%-4.5% |
| 36WATCH |  Jacoby BrissettARI | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Under 237.5 Pass Yds | 22258% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig-106 | +8.0%-2.8% |
| 36WATCH |  Jameis Winston NYG |  NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 218.5 Pass Yds | 20657% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 57% | Pinnacle-112 | +6.8%-5.4% |
| 35WATCH |  Deshaun Watson CLE |  BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 205.5 Pass Yds | 19357% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-111 | +7.4%-5.0% |
| 33WATCH |  C.J. StroudHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 254.5 Pass Yds | 27057% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-110 | +6.5%-4.5% |
| 32WATCH |  Caleb Williams CHI | CHI@ ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 225.5 Pass Yds | 23956% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | FanDuel-114 | +6.2%-6.1% |
| 27WATCH |  Brock Purdy SF |  WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 246.5 Pass Yds | 24053% | 49% +103 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-104 | +3.8%-3.4% |
| 25WATCH |  Aaron Rodgers PIT | PIT@ TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 226.5 Pass Yds | 23353% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-111 | +3.0%-5.0% |
| 17WATCH |  Dak Prescott DAL | DAL@ GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Under 275.5 Pass Yds | 27052% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | DraftKings-112 | +2.4%-5.4% |
| 12WATCH |  Jordan LoveGB | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Over 274.5 Pass Yds | 27851% | 50% +101 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ProphetX-103 | +1.6%-1.9% |
| 10WATCH |  Michael Penix Jr.ATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 236.5 Pass Yds | 23351% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Pinnacle-111 | +1.5%-5.0% |
| 7WATCH |  Josh AllenBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 239.5 Pass Yds | 24251% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-110 | +1.0%-4.5% |
| 6WATCH |  Justin HerbertLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 194.5 Pass Yds | 19351% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | bet365-115 | +0.8%-6.5% |
| 6WATCH |  Tyler ShoughNO | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 235.5 Pass Yds | 23351% | 50% -101 4 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | DraftKings-113 | +0.8%-5.1% |
| -- |  Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 200.5 Pass Yds | 82.3100% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | Parx-113 | +50.0%-5.8% |
| -- |  Tyler HuntleyBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 161.5 Pass Yds | 10494% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 71% | Novig-106 | +44.4%-2.8% |
| -- |  Daniel JonesIND | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 234.5 Pass Yds | 20367% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Pinnacle-112 | +16.9%-5.4% |
| -- |  Baker MayfieldTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 220 | -- | L10 avg 194 · szn 205 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Cooper RushATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 97.6 | -- | L10 avg 88.7 · szn 115 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Davis MillsHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 156 | -- | L10 avg 153 · szn 153 | -- | -- |
| -- |  J.J. McCarthyNYG | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 134 | -- | L10 avg 149 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 175 | -- | L10 avg 181 · szn 187 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Justin FieldsKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 123 | -- | L10 avg 140 · szn 140 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Lamar JacksonBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 210 | -- | L10 avg 207 · szn 242 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Quinn EwersJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 161 | -- | L10 avg 156 · szn 156 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Shedeur SandersCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 132 | -- | L10 avg 156 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Spencer RattlerNO | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 155 | -- | L10 avg 176 · szn 176 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tua TagovailoaATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 167 | -- | L10 avg 169 · szn 34.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tyrod TaylorGB | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 99.4 | -- | L10 avg 111 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 205.5 Pass Yds | 15682% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | Novig-111 | +31.9%-5.0% |
| -- |  Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 95.8 | -- | L10 avg 125 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 133 | -- | L10 avg 161 · szn 113 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.