NFL Pass Completions
PROP / UNVALIDATED39 projections25 with a posted line2 model + marketnot tracked in the public results
Lines updated 5 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53LEAN |  Kirk Cousins LV |  BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 22.5 Completions | 20.661% | 48% +108 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | BetMGM+100 | +13.0%-4.1% |
| 51LEAN |  Josh AllenBUF | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 20.5 Completions | 18.761% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | BetMGM-110 | +11.2%-4.5% |
| 44WATCH |  Daniel Jones IND |  TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 21.5 Completions | 20.059% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | DraftKings-102 | +9.7%-2.9% |
| 44WATCH |  Jameis Winston NYG |  NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 19.5 Completions | 18.358% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 86% | BetMGM-110 | +7.6%-4.5% |
| 41WATCH |  Jacoby Brissett ARI | ARI@ LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 23.5 Completions | 24.555% | 49% +104 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ProphetX-104 | +5.8%-3.9% |
| 40WATCH |  Tyler ShoughNO | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 22.5 Completions | 24.158% | 51% -105 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | DraftKings-119 | +6.5%-5.5% |
| 39WATCH |  Deshaun Watson CLE |  BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 19.5 Completions | 18.358% | 52% -106 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-115 | +6.4%-3.7% |
| 38WATCH |  Bryce Young CAR | CAR@ PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 20.5 Completions | 22.561% | 52% -110 4 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | ProphetX-117 | +8.1%-2.7% |
| 38WATCH |  Trevor Lawrence JAC |  HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 19.5 Completions | 20.355% | 49% +104 6 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | Fanatics-110 | +5.7%-6.4% |
| 38WATCH |  Caleb Williams CHI | CHI@ ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 19.5 Completions | 20.254% | 50% +101 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | BetMGM-105 | +4.3%-2.8% |
| 37WATCH |  Brock Purdy SF |  WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 21.5 Completions | 20.258% | 53% -112 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-120 | +5.1%-2.9% |
| 33WATCH |  Jordan Love GB |  DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Over 21.5 Completions | 22.555% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-116 | +4.3%-5.0% |
| 32WATCH |  Cam WardTEN | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 19.5 Completions | 19.153% | 47% +115 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Hard Rock+105 | +6.1%-4.6% |
| 27WATCH |  Matthew StaffordLAR | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 23.5 Completions | 26.864% | 50% +101 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ProphetX+104 | +14.7%+1.5%MODEL + MARKET |
| 22WATCH |  Dak PrescottDAL | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Over 23.5 Completions | 24.053% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | DraftKings-114 | +2.6%-5.9% |
| 22WATCH |  Aaron Rodgers PIT | PIT@ TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 21.5 Completions | 21.351% | 49% +104 7 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | Caesars-105 | +2.4%-4.4% |
| 20WATCH |  Geno Smith NYJ | NYJ@ NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 20.5 Completions | 19.159% | 51% -103 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-101 | +8.1%+1.1%MODEL + MARKET |
| 17WATCH |  Drake MayeNE | NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 20.5 Completions | 20.349% | 47% +114 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | Caesars+107 | +2.1%-3.2% |
| 6WATCH |  Justin Herbert LAC | LAC@ KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 18.5 Completions | 18.352% | 51% -104 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | DraftKings-117 | +0.6%-5.4% |
| 3WATCH |  C.J. StroudHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Over 22.5 Completions | 22.650% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | BetMGM-110 | +0.3%-4.5% |
| 1WATCH | Patrick Mahomes IIKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 20.5 Completions | 19.946% | 46% +117 4 bk | L5 20% · L10 40% | Caesars+106 | +0.1%-5.1% |
| -- |  Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 18.5 Completions | 7.1100% | 48% +110 6 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | DraftKings+101 | +52.3%-4.2% |
| -- |  Tyler HuntleyBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 17.5 Completions | 12.887% | 54% -119 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 86% | BetMGM-135 | +32.8%-5.5% |
| -- |  Michael Penix Jr.ATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 20.5 Completions | 17.371% | 54% -115 6 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | DraftKings-127 | +17.6%-4.4% |
| -- |  Baker MayfieldTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 20.7 | -- | L10 avg 18.8 · szn 20.3 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Cooper RushATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 9.9 | -- | L10 avg 9.3 · szn 11.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Davis MillsHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 15.1 | -- | L10 avg 15.2 · szn 15.2 | -- | -- |
| -- |  J.J. McCarthyNYG | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 11.2 | -- | L10 avg 12.7 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 17.0 | -- | L10 avg 17.7 · szn 17.8 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Justin FieldsKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 13.2 | -- | L10 avg 14.2 · szn 14.2 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Lamar JacksonBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 14.6 | -- | L10 avg 14.3 · szn 17.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Quinn EwersJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 14.6 | -- | L10 avg 13.8 · szn 13.8 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Shedeur SandersCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 12.3 | -- | L10 avg 13.4 · szn 1.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Spencer RattlerNO | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 15.9 | -- | L10 avg 19.3 · szn 19.3 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tua TagovailoaATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 14.5 | -- | L10 avg 15.6 · szn 2.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tyrod TaylorGB | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 9.9 | -- | L10 avg 11.4 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 18.5 Completions | 15.175% | 49% +105 6 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | DraftKings-105 | +26.7%-4.8% |
| -- |  Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 9.4 | -- | L10 avg 11.7 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 11.5 | -- | L10 avg 13.7 · szn 11.0 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.