| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37WATCH | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 29.757% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-115 | +6.5%-4.6% | ||
| -- | Under 26.5 Pass Attempts | 16.497% | 52% -106 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 86% | DraftKings-118 | +45.8%-4.7% | ||
| -- | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 21.7 | -- | L10 avg 22.6 · szn 24.0 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 20.7 | -- | L10 avg 23.7 · szn 1.00 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Quarterback pass attempts from recent volume. Game script (spread, total) is not modeled on the live board.