NFL Pass Attempts
PROP / UNVALIDATED39 projections25 with a posted line2 model + marketnot tracked in the public results
Lines updated 12 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51LEAN |  Josh Allen BUF | BUF@ LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 27.862% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | DraftKings-106 | +12.0%-2.8% |
| 49LEAN |  Geno Smith NYJ | NYJ@ NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 28.260% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | DraftKings-110 | +9.9%-4.5% |
| 47LEAN |  Caleb Williams CHI | CHI@ ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 32.5 Pass Attempts | 35.159% | 47% +113 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX+108 | +12.2%-2.2% |
| 47LEAN |  Cam Ward TEN | TEN@ INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 32.5 Pass Attempts | 29.961% | 51% -103 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | BetMGM-105 | +10.1%-1.1% |
| 40WATCH |  Bryce Young CAR | CAR@ PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 34.5 Pass Attempts | 36.256% | 48% +108 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 60% | ProphetX+103 | +7.8%-2.6% |
| 39WATCH |  Drake MayeNE | NYJ@NESUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 30.5 Pass Attempts | 31.052% | 48% +108 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ProphetX+106 | +4.2%-1.2% |
| 38WATCH |  Daniel JonesIND | TEN@INDSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 30.5 Pass Attempts | 32.357% | 52% -106 6 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | ProphetX-110 | +5.4%-1.6% |
| 37WATCH |  Deshaun Watson CLE |  BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 29.757% | 51% -104 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | DraftKings-115 | +6.5%-4.6% |
| 35WATCH |  Jordan Love GB |  DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Over 34.5 Pass Attempts | 35.453% | 49% +104 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | ProphetX-102 | +4.1%-2.9% |
| 33WATCH |  Aaron Rodgers PIT | PIT@ TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 33.5 Pass Attempts | 34.855% | 51% -104 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-111 | +3.8%-3.1% |
| 30WATCH | Patrick Mahomes II KC |  LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Over 31.5 Pass Attempts | 31.952% | 48% +108 5 bk | L5 20% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-105 | +3.7%-6.3% |
| 28WATCH |  Dak PrescottDAL | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Over 36.5 Pass Attempts | 36.851% | 47% +111 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX+103 | +3.8%-3.8% |
| 25WATCH |  Tyler Shough NO | NO@ NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 35.5 Pass Attempts | 35.851% | 48% +108 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ProphetX+105 | +2.7%-1.2% |
| 22WATCH |  Jacoby Brissett ARI | ARI@ LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 37.5 Pass Attempts | 38.453% | 51% -102 7 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | ProphetX+100 | +2.2%+1.2%MODEL + MARKET |
| 21WATCH |  Justin HerbertLAC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 29.853% | 50% -102 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-106 | +2.4%-2.0% |
| 16WATCH |  Trevor Lawrence JAC |  HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 31.152% | 50% +102 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Caesars-106 | +2.1%-3.8% |
| 11WATCH |  C.J. StroudHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Under 35.5 Pass Attempts | 35.450% | 49% +104 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-105 | +1.4%-4.3% |
| 10WATCH |  Jameis WinstonNYG | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 31.351% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 71% | ESPN BET-110 | +1.0%-4.5% |
| 9WATCH |  Michael Penix Jr.ATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 27.365% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | ProphetX+101 | +14.5%+0.5%MODEL + MARKET |
| 1WATCH |  Brock Purdy SF |  WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 30.152% | 51% -106 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-108 | +0.1%-1.0% |
| -- |  Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 13.2100% | 52% -108 6 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | BetRivers-121 | +48.0%-5.0% |
| -- |  Tyler HuntleyBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 26.5 Pass Attempts | 16.497% | 52% -106 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 86% | DraftKings-118 | +45.8%-4.7% |
| -- |  Matthew StaffordLAR | ARI@LARSUN 3:05 PM CT | Over 34.5 Pass Attempts | 42.171% | 49% +105 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-105 | +22.6%-4.8% |
| -- |  Kirk CousinsLV | BUF@LVSUN 3:25 PM CT | Under 36.5 Pass Attempts | 32.466% | 50% +101 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | DraftKings-102 | +15.7%-1.3% |
| -- |  Baker MayfieldTB | PIT@TBSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 32.7 | -- | L10 avg 29.9 · szn 32.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Cooper RushATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 16.3 | -- | L10 avg 15.2 · szn 19.5 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Davis MillsHOU | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 26.7 | -- | L10 avg 26.5 · szn 26.5 | -- | -- |
| -- |  J.J. McCarthyNYG | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 18.7 | -- | L10 avg 22.3 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 30.1 | -- | L10 avg 30.1 · szn 30.8 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Justin FieldsKC | LAC@KCSUN 3:25 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 21.4 | -- | L10 avg 22.7 · szn 22.7 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Lamar JacksonBAL | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 21.7 | -- | L10 avg 22.6 · szn 24.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Quinn EwersJAC | HOU@JACSUN 8:30 AM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 21.9 | -- | L10 avg 20.8 · szn 20.8 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Shedeur SandersCLE | BAL@CLESUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 20.7 | -- | L10 avg 23.7 · szn 1.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Spencer RattlerNO | NO@NYGSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 23.4 | -- | L10 avg 28.6 · szn 28.6 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tua TagovailoaATL | CHI@ATLSUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 21.4 | -- | L10 avg 23.7 · szn 3.0 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Tyrod TaylorGB | DAL@GBSUN 7:20 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 17.0 | -- | L10 avg 19.1 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 24.578% | 53% -114 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | DraftKings-125 | +24.4%-4.2% |
| -- |  Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 13.1 | -- | L10 avg 16.4 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 18.6 | -- | L10 avg 22.0 · szn 17.0 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.