NHL picks
LIVELines updated 18 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53LEAN |  Bobby McMann SEA | SEA@ FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.1388% | 73% -276 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Caesars-335 | +14.1%-4.7% |
| 48LEAN |  Anton LundellFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.6272% | 58% -137 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-160 | +13.8%-6.1% |
| 47LEAN |  Chandler StephensonSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.6246% | 32% +216 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Hard Rock+200 | +14.4%-5.1% |
| 47LEAN |  Matthew TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.3659% | 46% +116 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET+110 | +12.4%-2.9% |
| 46LEAN |  Matty BeniersSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.3063% | 51% -106 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-115 | +11.7%-3.8% |
| 46LEAN |  Seth JonesFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.4568% | 58% -135 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-160 | +10.7%-6.5% |
| 45LEAN |  Kaapo KakkoSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.6447% | 34% +197 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ESPN BET+180 | +13.4%-5.7% |
| 45LEAN | Matthew TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 1.0063% | 52% -110 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-127 | +10.4%-6.2% |
| 44WATCH |  Lars EllerFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 85% -546 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1000 | +12.2%-7.0% |
| 43WATCH | Matty BeniersSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2478% | 69% -224 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | Caesars-260 | +9.1%-4.2% |
| 42WATCH |  Bokondji ImamaFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2500 | +10.9%-7.3% |
| 40WATCH | Chandler StephensonSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.7151% | 40% +147 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET+135 | +10.2%-4.9% |
| 40WATCH |  Sam LaffertyFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2500 | +10.1%-7.3% |
| 40WATCH |  Mackie SamoskevichSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.5954% | 44% +129 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+115 | +10.0%-6.1% |
| 40WATCH |  Carter VerhaegheFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.6851% | 43% +132 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Caesars+121 | +7.9%-4.7% |
| 39WATCH |  Garnet HathawayFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 88% -706 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1600 | +9.6%-6.9% |
| 39WATCH | Bobby McMannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.7851% | 43% +134 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | FanDuel+125 | +8.5%-3.7% |
| 39WATCH | Matty BeniersSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.4564% | 55% -125 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Caesars-139 | +8.5%-4.6% |
| 39WATCH |  Brady TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.4067% | 60% -148 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX-168 | +7.2%-4.9% |
| 38WATCH | Bobby McMannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.4962% | 55% -120 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Caesars-130 | +7.0%-3.5% |
| 37WATCH |  Jared McCannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.2764% | 57% -132 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-155 | +7.6%-6.5% |
| 37WATCH |  Sam ReinhartFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.4663% | 57% -132 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Caesars-145 | +6.4%-3.9% |
| 37WATCH |  Vince DunnSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.4166% | 60% -150 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX-168 | +6.1%-4.2% |
| 36WATCH | Kaapo KakkoSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.4637% | 25% +306 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | Hard Rock+275 | +11.9%-7.6% |
| 36WATCH |  Dmitry KulikovFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 92% -1177 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-5000 | +7.8%-6.0% |
| 35WATCH | Chandler StephensonSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1091% | 83% -495 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-900 | +7.5%-7.6% |
| 35WATCH | Vince DunnSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5458% | 53% -114 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Caesars-125 | +5.2%-4.2% |
| 34WATCH |  Aaron EkbladFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0595% | 88% -762 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-2000 | +7.1%-7.2% |
| 34WATCH |  Brandon MontourSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0794% | 87% -660 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | Novig-9900 | +6.9%-12.3% |
| 33WATCH |  Josh MahuraSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 92% -1177 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-5000 | +6.7%-6.0% |
| 32WATCH | Carter VerhaegheFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.1664% | 51% -105 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Hard Rock+100 | +12.4%+2.4%MODEL + MARKET |
| 32WATCH | Anton LundellFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.4862% | 56% -128 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-145 | +6.0%-5.1% |
| 32WATCH |  Sam BennettFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.3968% | 62% -163 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-200 | +5.9%-7.0% |
| 32WATCH |  Ryker EvansSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 91% -1021 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-3500 | +5.9%-6.3% |
| 31WATCH | Matthew TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Points | 1.3940% | 34% +198 4 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | ESPN BET+180 | +6.9%-6.1% |
| 31WATCH | Brady TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.6346% | 40% +151 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 20% | DraftKings+145 | +6.5%-2.4% |
| 31WATCH |  Cale FleurySEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0298% | 92% -1177 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-5000 | +5.7%-6.0% |
| 31WATCH |  Gustav ForslingFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0695% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-2500 | +5.6%-7.3% |
| 31WATCH | Mackie SamoskevichSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2280% | 75% -299 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-425 | +5.4%-7.4% |
| 30WATCH | Anton LundellFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2082% | 76% -322 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-475 | +5.2%-7.6% |
| 30WATCH | Anton LundellFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2776% | 71% -249 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Hard Rock-325 | +4.9%-6.7% |
| 29WATCH |  Niko MikkolaFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0694% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2800 | +4.5%-7.1% |
| 28WATCH |  Sandis VilmanisFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0992% | 88% -706 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1600 | +4.0%-6.9% |
| 28WATCH | Matthew TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.3968% | 64% -178 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig-199 | +4.0%-3.9% |
| 25WATCH |  Berkly CattonSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1586% | 82% -467 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-800 | +3.6%-7.3% |
| 24WATCH | Seth JonesFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1388% | 85% -546 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-1000 | +3.4%-7.0% |
| 24WATCH | Matty BeniersSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2082% | 78% -362 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Novig-388 | +3.4%-1.5% |
| 24WATCH |  Jordan EberleSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.6447% | 44% +126 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET+120 | +3.0%-2.5% |
| 21WATCH | Vince DunnSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.8646% | 43% +133 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+120 | +2.8%-5.4% |
| 21WATCH | Brady TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 3.5 Shots on Goal | 3.456% | 54% -116 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-130 | +2.7%-5.1% |
| 19WATCH | Carter VerhaegheFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.4536% | 32% +212 3 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | DraftKings+210 | +3.8%-0.6% |
| 16WATCH | Jordan EberleSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.7752% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+102 | +1.8%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET |
| 16WATCH | Vince DunnSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1388% | 86% -600 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-1200 | +2.3%-7.1% |
| 15WATCH | Jordan EberleSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.3832% | 29% +245 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | Hard Rock+225 | +2.7%-5.8% |
| 14WATCH | Jordan EberleSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2677% | 75% -300 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Novig-388 | +2.0%-5.7% |
| 14WATCH | Jared McCannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.3868% | 67% -200 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-235 | +1.8%-4.9% |
| 12WATCH | Sam BennettFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.7651% | 49% +104 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-110 | +1.7%-6.5% |
| 12WATCH | Brady TkachukFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 1.0364% | 63% -167 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 30% | ESPN BET-190 | +1.5%-4.6% |
| 11WATCH | Jared McCannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.7050% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-105 | +1.3%-4.1% |
| 8WATCH | Sam ReinhartFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.9439% | 38% +162 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Caesars+154 | +1.2%-3.0% |
| 6WATCH | Bobby McMannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3529% | 28% +261 3 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | FanDuel+240 | +1.4%-5.8% |
| 5WATCH | Mackie SamoskevichSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.5542% | 41% +143 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET+130 | +0.9%-5.4% |
| 5WATCH | Sam ReinhartFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.4838% | 37% +169 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | DraftKings+160 | +0.9%-3.5% |
| 2WATCH |  Shane WrightSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.1715% | 14% +600 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | ESPN BET+550 | +0.9%-7.1% |
| 2WATCH |  Ben MeyersSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1090% | 90% -909 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ProphetX-1000 | +0.3%-0.9% |
| 1WATCH | Jared McCannSEA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3227% | 27% +268 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | DraftKings+260 | +0.3%-2.1% |
| 1WATCH |  Uvis BalinskisFLA | SEA@FLA5:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0991% | 91% -1021 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-3500 | +0.1%-6.3% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.