NHL picks
LIVELines updated 18 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49LEAN |  Oliver Ekman-Larsson TOR |  NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.1388% | 74% -280 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | Hard Rock-375 | +14.3%-6.7% |
| 48LEAN |  Kyle PalmieriNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2975% | 63% -173 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | Caesars-209 | +11.7%-6.2% |
| 47LEAN |  Brandon DuhaimeTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 87% -654 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1400 | +13.3%-7.1% |
| 47LEAN |  Zack MacEwenTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 87% -654 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1400 | +13.3%-7.1% |
| 45LEAN |  Bo HorvatNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 3.769% | 56% -128 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | Novig-147 | +12.6%-5.7% |
| 43WATCH |  Kirill MarchenkoTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.4856% | 46% +116 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | ESPN BET+110 | +9.3%-2.7% |
| 42WATCH |  Matthew SchaeferNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1289% | 78% -351 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | Novig-355 | +11.0%-0.3% |
| 42WATCH | Kyle PalmieriNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5657% | 49% +106 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Caesars+100 | +8.8%-2.8% |
| 41WATCH |  Darren RaddyshTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5359% | 48% +107 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-105 | +10.7%-5.8% |
| 41WATCH | Darren RaddyshTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.4067% | 56% -129 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-155 | +10.6%-7.3% |
| 41WATCH |  Victor EklundNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.3462% | 51% -104 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ESPN BET-120 | +10.5%-6.5% |
| 41WATCH |  Logan StanleyNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2500 | +10.3%-7.3% |
| 41WATCH |  Auston MatthewsTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 3.5 Shots on Goal | 3.457% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Caesars-105 | +8.2%-4.4% |
| 40WATCH |  Morgan RiellyTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2379% | 70% -229 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-300 | +9.8%-7.2% |
| 40WATCH |  Adam PelechNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2500 | +9.8%-7.3% |
| 40WATCH |  William NylanderTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 3.159% | 50% +101 4 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-110 | +9.1%-5.2% |
| 39WATCH | Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2800 | +9.7%-7.1% |
| 39WATCH |  Ryan PulockNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 89% -817 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2500 | +9.6%-7.3% |
| 39WATCH |  Troy StecherTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2800 | +9.4%-7.1% |
| 38WATCH |  Nick PaulTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1090% | 82% -441 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-750 | +8.9%-7.6% |
| 38WATCH | William NylanderTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 1.3073% | 64% -176 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-200 | +8.8%-4.3% |
| 38WATCH |  Brayden SchennNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.3670% | 63% -173 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Caesars-190 | +6.7%-3.4% |
| 37WATCH |  Easton CowanTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.6447% | 38% +165 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ESPN BET+150 | +9.3%-5.7% |
| 37WATCH | Victor EklundNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1189% | 81% -420 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 88% | ESPN BET-700 | +8.6%-7.7% |
| 37WATCH | Morgan RiellyTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.3372% | 63% -173 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-200 | +8.6%-4.9% |
| 36WATCH | Brayden SchennNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.0459% | 54% -118 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-111 | +4.9%+2.8%MODEL + MARKET |
| 36WATCH | Darren RaddyshTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1190% | 82% -441 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-750 | +8.1%-7.6% |
| 35WATCH | Darren RaddyshTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.8853% | 46% +118 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ProphetX+108 | +7.4%-4.5% |
| 34WATCH |  Jack RoslovicTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.4769% | 61% -160 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-190 | +7.2%-6.2% |
| 33WATCH | Jack RoslovicTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2677% | 70% -239 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-300 | +6.4%-6.0% |
| 32WATCH |  Jake McCabeTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0496% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2800 | +6.1%-7.1% |
| 31WATCH |  Colton SissonsTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0892% | 87% -654 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-1400 | +5.7%-7.1% |
| 31WATCH |  Ondrej PalatNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0794% | 88% -762 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ProphetX-850 | +5.3%-1.2% |
| 31WATCH |  Teddy BluegerTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1190% | 85% -546 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1000 | +5.3%-7.0% |
| 31WATCH |  Simon HolmstromNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2082% | 76% -323 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | Hard Rock-450 | +5.3%-6.7% |
| 30WATCH |  Matthew KesselNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +5.2%-6.2% |
| 30WATCH | William NylanderTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.7151% | 46% +120 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+105 | +5.0%-6.6% |
| 28WATCH | Kyle PalmieriNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2677% | 73% -267 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Novig-335 | +4.2%-5.6% |
| 28WATCH |  Anthony DuclairNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1586% | 82% -467 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-800 | +4.1%-7.3% |
| 27WATCH | Morgan RiellyTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0991% | 88% -706 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1600 | +3.8%-6.9% |
| 26WATCH | Jack RoslovicTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5458% | 54% -120 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 50% | Hard Rock-140 | +3.8%-6.6% |
| 26WATCH | Simon HolmstromNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.3868% | 65% -183 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-220 | +3.7%-6.0% |
| 25WATCH |  Matias MaccelliNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.7553% | 49% +104 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 50% | ESPN BET-110 | +3.5%-6.5% |
| 24WATCH | Matias MaccelliNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.5341% | 36% +175 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 40% | Hard Rock+160 | +4.5%-5.5% |
| 23WATCH | Auston MatthewsTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.6246% | 43% +134 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 40% | Hard Rock+120 | +3.6%-5.9% |
| 23WATCH | Auston MatthewsTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 1.2070% | 66% -197 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-240 | +3.3%-6.0% |
| 22WATCH | Matias MaccelliNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2280% | 77% -333 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-500 | +3.1%-7.7% |
| 20WATCH | Easton CowanTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3026% | 19% +420 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | ESPN BET+380 | +6.8%-7.7% |
| 18WATCH | Bo HorvatNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.4167% | 64% -178 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig-208 | +2.6%-5.1% |
| 18WATCH | Simon HolmstromNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1784% | 82% -441 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-750 | +2.5%-7.6% |
| 17WATCH | Kirill MarchenkoTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.9561% | 59% -143 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-160 | +2.5%-4.3% |
| 16WATCH | Kyle PalmieriNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.3742% | 39% +157 3 bk | L5 0% · L10 20% | FanDuel+154 | +2.7%-1.3% |
| 16WATCH | Matthew SchaeferNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.8344% | 41% +141 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Caesars+137 | +2.3%-1.7% |
| 16WATCH | Brayden SchennNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Points | 0.6652% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Caesars-110 | +2.0%-4.5% |
| 15WATCH | Easton CowanTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.3429% | 25% +299 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 40% | Hard Rock+275 | +3.8%-6.0% |
| 14WATCH |  Gavin McKennaTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.2925% | 21% +377 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 25% | DraftKings+350 | +4.3%-5.7% |
| 13WATCH | Jack RoslovicTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2975% | 73% -273 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | Novig-326 | +1.8%-4.3% |
| 13WATCH |  Tony DeAngeloNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1090% | 88% -762 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-2000 | +1.8%-7.2% |
| 11WATCH |  Calum RitchieNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.4939% | 37% +173 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | ESPN BET+160 | +2.1%-4.8% |
| 6WATCH | Calum RitchieNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2082% | 81% -420 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-700 | +0.9%-7.7% |
| 6WATCH | Gavin McKennaTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.6253% | 52% -108 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 63% | ESPN BET-125 | +0.8%-6.3% |
| 5WATCH | Tony DeAngeloNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.4436% | 35% +189 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 10% | ESPN BET+170 | +1.0%-6.7% |
| 5WATCH | Bo HorvatNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Points | 0.8858% | 58% -137 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-155 | +0.6%-5.0% |
| 4WATCH | Brayden SchennNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.2925% | 24% +316 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | FanDuel+310 | +1.3%-1.5% |
| 4WATCH | Kirill MarchenkoTOR | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.5140% | 39% +156 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | Hard Rock+140 | +0.7%-6.1% |
| 4WATCH |  Casey CizikasNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1586% | 86% -595 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | ProphetX-800 | +0.6%-3.7% |
| 2WATCH | Calum RitchieNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2875% | 75% -299 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | Hard Rock-425 | +0.3%-7.4% |
| 2WATCH | Matthew SchaeferNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.7249% | 48% +106 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Caesars+100 | +0.2%-3.1% |
| 1WATCH | Matias MaccelliNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.6849% | 49% +104 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ESPN BET-110 | +0.1%-6.5% |
| 1WATCH | Bo HorvatNYI | NYI@TOR6:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.4637% | 37% +172 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | Hard Rock+160 | +0.1%-4.4% |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
Market prices
PREVIEW. NHL sportsbook and exchange prices beating the consensus of the other books on the same player, stat and line. Not yet tracked in the public results. Last updated 9.1h ago. Kalshi asks are on the +EV terminal.
No prices beating the market
No NHL prop price is beating the other books at the moment. Rows appear around game windows, before the game starts.
Open the +EV terminalHow the Beezy Score works
A 0-100 strength score for one flagged price. It is not a win probability. Hover a score to see its parts.
- Edge, up to 60: 4 points per 1% of edge at the flagged price.
- Consensus, up to 20: how many other books back the fair price (3 books is 0, 12 or more is the max). Model bets have no books count and get a neutral 10.
- Hit probability, up to 20: longshots are penalised (15% to win is 0, 50% or better is the max).
Consensus and hit probability only count when there is an edge, so a price with no edge scores 0. STRONG is 70+, LEAN is 45-69, WATCH is under 45.
On 7,259 graded +EV alerts the tiers realised +25.8% (STRONG), +6.4% (LEAN) and +3.5% (WATCH) flat-stake ROI, paper, each book counted separately. The cut points were set on that same sample, so expect them to shrink going forward, and they are not yet validated for model bets.