NHL projections

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82 rows after filters · The model number for every player prop, beside the line

Lines updated 18 min ago

SCORE	PLAYER	GAME	MARKET & LINE	MODEL	MARKET FAIR	FORM	BEST PRICE	EDGE / EV
47LEAN	Tomas HertlVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.2861%	47% +113 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 40%	ESPN BET+100	+13.7%-6.1%
47LEAN	Raphael LavoieVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.00100%	87% -654 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-1400	+13.3%-7.1%
46LEAN	Ivan BarbashevVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.6849%	36% +175 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	Hard Rock+160	+13.0%-5.5%
43WATCH	Mark StoneVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.6849%	37% +169 3 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	bet365+155	+11.8%-5.3%
42WATCH	Erik KarlssonPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.7653%	42% +139 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Hard Rock+125	+11.0%-5.7%
41WATCH	Erik KarlssonPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	0.9159%	49% +104 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	ESPN BET-110	+10.4%-6.5%
40WATCH	Jack EichelVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 3.5 Shots on Goal	3.064%	55% -123 4 bk	L5 20% · L10 60%	ESPN BET-140	+8.8%-5.3%
39WATCH	Mitch MarnerVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.6849%	39% +157 3 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ESPN BET+140	+10.0%-6.7%
38WATCH	Mark StoneVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.5061%	52% -107 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	ESPN BET-125	+9.0%-6.9%
38WATCH	Ville KoivunenPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0892%	83% -495 1 bk	L5 80% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-900	+9.0%-7.6%
38WATCH	Mitch MarnerVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.9662%	53% -112 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 60%	ESPN BET-130	+8.9%-6.7%
37WATCH	Sidney CrosbyPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.2578%	69% -225 1 bk	L5 80% · L10 80%	ESPN BET-300	+8.7%-7.7%
37WATCH	Nic DowdVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0496%	88% -706 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-1600	+8.5%-6.9%
37WATCH	Brayden McNabbVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0397%	89% -817 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-2500	+8.4%-7.3%
36WATCH	William KarlssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 2.5 Shots on Goal	1.9469%	61% -157 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	ESPN BET-190	+8.2%-6.7%
35WATCH	Blake LizottePIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0397%	90% -869 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-2800	+7.7%-7.1%
35WATCH	Ben KindelPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.3471%	63% -173 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	Hard Rock-210	+7.5%-6.5%
34WATCH	Rickard RakellPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.2280%	73% -273 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	Novig-277	+7.2%-0.4%
34WATCH	Jeremy LauzonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0199%	92% -1177 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-5000	+6.8%-6.0%
33WATCH	Mark StoneVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.3160%	56% -129 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Hard Rock-120	+3.4%+3.3%MODEL + MARKET
33WATCH	Bryan RustPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.2876%	70% -229 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-300	+6.4%-7.2%
33WATCH	Trevor ConnellyVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.1165%	60% -148 4 bk	L5 60% · L10 67%	Hard Rock-175	+5.2%-6.3%
32WATCH	Evgeni MalkinPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.3670%	63% -172 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	Hard Rock-210	+6.2%-6.6%
32WATCH	Noah HanifinVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0595%	89% -817 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-2500	+6.1%-7.3%
32WATCH	Trevor ConnellyVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.6353%	47% +112 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 56%	ESPN BET+100	+6.0%-5.5%
32WATCH	Shea TheodoreVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Shots on Goal	2.0760%	55% -120 4 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ESPN BET-135	+5.1%-5.0%
31WATCH	Evgeni MalkinPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Shots on Goal	2.1562%	54% -116 4 bk	L5 80% · L10 60%	Novig-111	+7.8%+2.2%MODEL + MARKET
31WATCH	Jack EichelVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	1.1367%	62% -161 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 60%	Hard Rock-195	+5.7%-6.7%
31WATCH	Mitch MarnerVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	1.3273%	67% -208 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-260	+5.6%-6.6%
31WATCH	Bryan RustPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.0467%	61% -157 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Caesars-173	+5.6%-3.5%
31WATCH	Rickard RakellPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.5359%	54% -116 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-132	+5.4%-5.7%
30WATCH	Mitch MarnerVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.3670%	65% -187 3 bk	L5 80% · L10 80%	FanDuel-230	+4.9%-6.6%
30WATCH	Rickard RakellPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Shots on Goal	2.4167%	63% -167 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-200	+4.9%-6.3%
30WATCH	Jack EichelVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.4166%	61% -159 3 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	FanDuel-190	+4.9%-6.2%
29WATCH	Tomas HertlVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.3968%	64% -175 1 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-220	+4.6%-7.4%
29WATCH	Ben KindelPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Shots on Goal	1.8755%	50% -100 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 80%	Hard Rock-115	+4.5%-6.5%
28WATCH	Sidney CrosbyPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 2.5 Shots on Goal	2.5045%	39% +157 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ESPN BET+150	+5.7%-2.6%
28WATCH	Rickard RakellPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.3174%	70% -229 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-300	+4.0%-7.2%
28WATCH	Ben KindelPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.2082%	78% -351 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 80%	Hard Rock-475	+4.0%-5.8%
26WATCH	Sidney CrosbyPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.8045%	40% +147 2 bk	L5 80% · L10 50%	ESPN BET+135	+4.5%-4.9%
26WATCH	Braeden BowmanVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1884%	80% -399 3 bk	L5 80% · L10 80%	ProphetX-410	+3.7%-0.5%
25WATCH	Shea TheodoreVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	0.5944%	40% +147 2 bk	L5 0% · L10 20%	ESPN BET+135	+4.0%-4.9%
23WATCH	Samuel GirardPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0595%	91% -1074 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-4000	+3.4%-6.2%
21WATCH	Ivan BarbashevVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	0.8055%	52% -108 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 40%	ESPN BET-125	+3.0%-6.3%
20WATCH	Connor DewarPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.1715%	10% +862 3 bk	L5 20% · L10 30%	Fanatics+1000	+5.0%+14.4%MODEL + MARKET
20WATCH	Ivan BarbashevVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 1.5 Shots on Goal	1.8945%	42% +139 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	ESPN BET+125	+3.1%-6.0%
19WATCH	Rasmus AnderssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1090%	88% -706 1 bk	L5 80% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-1600	+2.7%-6.9%
18WATCH	Trevor ConnellyVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.3832%	27% +268 1 bk	L5 40% · L10 33%	ProphetX+245	+4.5%-6.2%
17WATCH	Jack EichelVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Points	1.5445%	43% +134 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 50%	ESPN BET+120	+2.7%-5.9%
17WATCH	Marc GatcombVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1289%	87% -654 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 90%	ESPN BET-1400	+2.4%-7.1%
16WATCH	William KarlssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.3026%	24% +323 3 bk	L5 40% · L10 20%	FanDuel+340	+2.4%+4.0%MODEL + MARKET
16WATCH	William KarlssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	0.6648%	46% +117 2 bk	L5 80% · L10 40%	ESPN BET+105	+2.3%-5.6%
16WATCH	Sidney CrosbyPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.5658%	55% -124 2 bk	L5 100% · L10 60%	Hard Rock-145	+2.2%-6.6%
15WATCH	Bryan RustPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.6155%	53% -111 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	Hard Rock-125	+2.1%-5.4%
14WATCH	Mark StoneVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Points	1.1869%	67% -204 1 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	Hard Rock-250	+2.0%-6.1%
14WATCH	Dylan CoghlanVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0596%	94% -1453 3 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ProphetX-1700	+2.0%-0.9%
8WATCH	Kris LetangPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0893%	91% -1074 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 80%	ESPN BET-4000	+1.2%-6.2%
5WATCH	Shea TheodoreVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.1816%	14% +600 1 bk	L5 0% · L10 10%	ESPN BET+550	+2.2%-7.1%
5WATCH	Erik KarlssonPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1685%	85% -546 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-1000	+0.7%-7.0%
5WATCH	Evgeni MalkinPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.7249%	48% +108 2 bk	L5 80% · L10 70%	ESPN BET-105	+0.7%-6.3%
4WATCH	Tomas HertlVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Points	0.8144%	44% +128 2 bk	L5 60% · L10 60%	ESPN BET+115	+0.6%-5.8%
3WATCH	Erik KarlssonPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 1.5 Shots on Goal	1.9444%	41% +144 3 bk	L5 60% · L10 50%	Hard Rock+145	+2.7%+0.2%MODEL + MARKET
3WATCH	William KarlssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.3630%	30% +239 2 bk	L5 40% · L10 20%	Hard Rock+220	+0.6%-5.5%
3WATCH	Shea TheodoreVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.4133%	33% +204 2 bk	L5 0% · L10 10%	Hard Rock+185	+0.6%-6.3%
2WATCH	Tomas HertlVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Assists	0.4335%	34% +191 2 bk	L5 20% · L10 20%	Hard Rock+175	+0.5%-5.3%
--	Ivan BarbashevVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1289%	73% -268 1 bk	L5 100% · L10 100%	ESPN BET-370	+16.0%-7.5%
--	Trevor ConnellyVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Assists	0.2578%	63% -167 2 bk	L5 80% · L10 78%	Hard Rock-200	+15.4%-6.2%
--	Brett HowdenVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.5442%	26% +279 1 bk	L5 60% · L10 30%	bet365+300	+15.1%+5.7%
--	Elmer SoderblomPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.2018%	12% +706 1 bk	L5 20% · L10 20%	FanDuel+750	+5.3%+5.5%
--	Evgeni MalkinPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.3530%	26% +279 1 bk	L5 20% · L10 30%	bet365+320	+3.2%+10.9%
--	Declan CarlilePIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.1110%	9% +1021 1 bk	L5 20% · L10 20%	Fanatics+1700	+1.3%+60.6%
--	Andrei KuzmenkoPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.2219%	18% +441 1 bk	L5 0% · L10 10%	Fanatics+575	+0.8%+24.7%
--	Bryan RustPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 0.5 Goals	0.3328%	27% +268 1 bk	L5 40% · L10 30%	FanDuel+290	+0.5%+6.1%
--	Kaedan KorczakPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.00100%	--	L5 100% · L10 100%	--	--
--	Ben KindelPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1487%	--	L5 80% · L10 80%	--	--
--	Spencer StastneyPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.0298%	--	L5 100% · L10 100%	--	--
--	Egor ChinakhovPIT	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Under 0.5 Goals	0.1784%	--	L5 100% · L10 90%	--	--
--	Rasmus AnderssonVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Over 1.5 Shots on Goal	2.1261%	--	L5 100% · L10 70%	Novig-127	--
--	Adin HillVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Saves (no line yet)	20.5	--	L10 avg 19.0 · szn 21.7	--	--
--	Carter HartVGK	PIT@VGK9:00 PM CT	Saves (no line yet)	25.4	--	L10 avg 23.5 · szn 23.8	--	--

Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.