| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49LEAN | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2677% | 63% -167 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | Novig-194 | +14.4%-5.3% | ||
| 48LEAN | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2181% | 67% -204 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Novig-228 | +14.0%-3.4% | ||
| 48LEAN | Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.3761% | 47% +114 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET+100 | +13.9%-6.5% | ||
| 46LEAN | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1091% | 78% -355 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-550 | +12.9%-7.8% | ||
| 45LEAN | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.0467% | 54% -120 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-135 | +12.3%-5.2% | ||
| 42WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.2263% | 52% -108 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-125 | +11.2%-6.3% | ||
| 42WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.3471% | 60% -150 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-170 | +11.0%-4.8% | ||
| 41WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1586% | 75% -307 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-450 | +10.7%-7.8% | ||
| 41WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0298% | 88% -731 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-1400 | +10.3%-5.8% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2876% | 66% -191 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-240 | +10.3%-7.1% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 1.8572% | 61% -160 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-190 | +10.0%-6.2% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2876% | 66% -194 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | Novig-212 | +9.9%-2.8% | ||
| 40WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.2082% | 72% -258 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Hard Rock-325 | +9.8%-5.7% | ||
| 39WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1685% | 75% -307 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-450 | +9.6%-7.8% | ||
| 39WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.4663% | 54% -116 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-132 | +9.4%-5.7% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0298% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2800 | +8.6%-7.1% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +8.5%-6.2% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +8.5%-6.2% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.00100% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +8.5%-6.2% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 88% -762 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-2000 | +8.3%-7.2% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1388% | 80% -399 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-650 | +8.3%-7.8% | ||
| 37WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 91% -1021 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-3500 | +8.3%-6.3% | ||
| 36WATCH | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.8959% | 51% -103 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-120 | +8.2%-7.0% | ||
| 36WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0199% | 91% -1021 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-3500 | +8.1%-6.3% | ||
| 34WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2281% | 74% -279 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Novig-355 | +7.0%-5.7% | ||
| 34WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.2664% | 58% -139 4 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-160 | +6.0%-5.4% | ||
| 33WATCH | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3328% | 21% +369 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 30% | FanDuel+400 | +6.4%+6.6%MODEL + MARKET | ||
| 32WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.5757% | 51% -103 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-120 | +5.8%-7.0% | ||
| 32WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0397% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +5.8%-6.2% | ||
| 31WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.7547% | 41% +144 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+130 | +6.2%-5.7% | ||
| 31WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.3372% | 66% -198 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-250 | +5.7%-7.0% | ||
| 31WATCH | Under 1.5 Points | 1.1369% | 63% -173 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-200 | +5.3%-4.9% | ||
| 30WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0496% | 91% -1074 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-4000 | +4.9%-6.2% | ||
| 30WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 1.8253% | 48% +106 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ESPN BET-105 | +4.8%-5.3% | ||
| 29WATCH | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.4738% | 30% +239 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | Hard Rock+220 | +8.0%-5.5% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.8344% | 38% +165 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | ESPN BET+150 | +6.1%-5.7% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.6552% | 47% +112 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ESPN BET+100 | +4.3%-5.5% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0497% | 92% -1177 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-5000 | +4.3%-6.0% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.2975% | 70% -236 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-320 | +4.3%-7.8% | ||
| 29WATCH | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.3060% | 56% -126 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | Caesars-145 | +4.3%-5.8% | ||
| 28WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.6552% | 48% +107 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Hard Rock-105 | +4.2%-5.8% | ||
| 28WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1983% | 79% -377 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-600 | +4.1%-7.8% | ||
| 28WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.4862% | 58% -139 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-165 | +4.0%-6.5% | ||
| 25WATCH | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.8453% | 49% +104 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ESPN BET-110 | +3.5%-6.5% | ||
| 24WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1487% | 83% -495 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-900 | +3.4%-7.6% | ||
| 23WATCH | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | 2.1461% | 58% -138 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | FanDuel-154 | +3.3%-4.2% | ||
| 22WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0793% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | ESPN BET-2800 | +3.2%-7.1% | ||
| 21WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5558% | 55% -120 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ESPN BET-135 | +3.1%-5.0% | ||
| 20WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1090% | 87% -689 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Novig-809 | +2.8%-1.9% | ||
| 19WATCH | Over 0.5 Points | 0.9862% | 60% -147 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-170 | +2.8%-5.4% | ||
| 17WATCH | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.5844% | 41% +145 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | Hard Rock+130 | +2.9%-6.0% | ||
| 16WATCH | Under 1.5 Points | 1.1668% | 66% -191 2 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-230 | +2.2%-5.8% | ||
| 14WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1289% | 87% -654 1 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-1400 | +2.0%-7.1% | ||
| 14WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1685% | 83% -495 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-900 | +1.9%-7.6% | ||
| 13WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.5359% | 57% -134 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | ESPN BET-150 | +1.9%-4.7% | ||
| 13WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1289% | 87% -654 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-1400 | +1.8%-7.1% | ||
| 12WATCH | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.4536% | 34% +197 2 bk | L5 0% · L10 30% | DraftKings+180 | +2.5%-5.8% | ||
| 11WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.0991% | 89% -850 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 90% | Novig-1233 | +1.6%-3.3% | ||
| 10WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 0.7448% | 46% +116 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+105 | +1.5%-5.0% | ||
| 9WATCH | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3831% | 25% +296 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 25% | DraftKings+300 | +6.0%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET | ||
| 9WATCH | Over 0.5 Assists | 0.5944% | 43% +133 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | Hard Rock+120 | +1.4%-5.6% | ||
| 8WATCH | Over 0.5 Points | 0.6246% | 45% +122 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | ESPN BET+110 | +1.3%-5.6% | ||
| 4WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1090% | 90% -869 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ESPN BET-2800 | +0.6%-7.1% | ||
| 4WATCH | Under 0.5 Goals | 0.1091% | 90% -933 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 80% | Novig-1329 | +0.6%-2.9% | ||
| 2WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.3472% | 71% -249 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 60% | Hard Rock-325 | +0.2%-6.7% | ||
| 1WATCH | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.6254% | 54% -116 2 bk | L5 20% · L10 30% | ESPN BET-135 | +0.2%-6.4% | ||
| 1WATCH | Under 0.5 Points | 1.0436% | 35% +182 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ESPN BET+165 | +0.1%-6.1% | ||
| 1WATCH | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.5643% | 42% +135 3 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+122 | +0.1%-5.7% | ||
| -- | Under 0.5 Assists | 0.00100% | 66% -191 2 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ESPN BET-240 | +34.4%-7.1% | ||
| -- | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 1.5080% | 60% -151 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 75% | Hard Rock-175 | +20.3%-5.5% | ||
| -- | Under 0.5 Points | 0.3869% | 50% -100 2 bk | L5 60% · L10 75% | ESPN BET-115 | +18.6%-6.5% | ||
| -- | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.3328% | 19% +420 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | bet365+500 | +8.9%+15.4% | ||
| -- | Over 3.5 Shots on Goal | 3.851% | 51% -102 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | FanDuel+102 | +0.4%+2.0% | ||
| -- | Over 0.5 Goals | 0.1917% | 17% +495 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 10% | Fanatics+575 | +0.4%+13.5% | ||
| -- | Under 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.1464% | -- | L5 60% · L10 60% | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.48 | -- | L10 avg 1.30 · szn 1.38 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.24 | -- | L10 avg 1.20 · szn 1.00 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Saves (no line yet) | 24.4 | -- | L10 avg 25.7 · szn 20.5 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Blocked Shots (no line yet) | 1.17 | -- | L10 avg 1.40 · szn 1.50 | -- | -- | ||
| -- | Saves (no line yet) | 21.1 | -- | L10 avg 21.6 · szn 24.5 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
A 0-100 strength score for one flagged price. It is not a win probability. Hover a score to see its parts.
Consensus and hit probability only count when there is an edge, so a price with no edge scores 0. STRONG is 70+, LEAN is 45-69, WATCH is under 45.
On 7,259 graded +EV alerts the tiers realised +25.8% (STRONG), +6.4% (LEAN) and +3.5% (WATCH) flat-stake ROI, paper, each book counted separately. The cut points were set on that same sample, so expect them to shrink going forward, and they are not yet validated for model bets.