NFL projections
LIVELines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52LEAN |  Christian McCaffrey SF |  WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 4.5 Receptions | 4.358% | 49% +104 9 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | ProphetX+101 | +9.4%-1.5% |
| 50LEAN |  Mike EvansSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 72.5 Rec Yds | 59.862% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-112 | +11.7%-5.4% |
| 44WATCH |  Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 6.5 Carries | 7.663% | 53% -114 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | ProphetX-118 | +9.6%-1.6% |
| 40WATCH |  George KittleSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 63.5 Rec Yds | 56.357% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+102 | +8.0%-0.8% |
| 39WATCH |  Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 11.5 Carries | 12.155% | 45% +122 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | ProphetX+108 | +9.5%-6.3% |
| 38WATCH | Christian McCaffreySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 59.5 Rush Yds | 64.755% | 50% -100 7 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-108 | +4.8%-3.7% |
| 37WATCH |  Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 21.5 Completions | 20.258% | 53% -112 6 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-120 | +5.1%-2.9% |
| 29WATCH | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 2.5 Pass TDs | 2.5045% | 41% +146 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | BetMGM+150 | +4.7%+1.6%MODEL + MARKET |
| 27WATCH | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 246.5 Pass Yds | 24053% | 49% +103 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-104 | +3.8%-3.4% |
| 18WATCH | Christian McCaffreySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 39.5 Rec Yds | 39.951% | 48% +107 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Novig+104 | +2.3%-1.4% |
| 15WATCH | Christian McCaffreySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 14.5 Carries | 14.651% | 49% +104 7 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ProphetX+101 | +1.6%-1.4% |
| 13WATCH | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 0.5 Interceptions | 0.6246% | 45% +124 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | DraftKings+115 | +1.7%-4.1% |
| 6WATCH |  Kaelon BlackSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 23.5 Rush Yds | 23.851% | 50% -100 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | DraftKings-108 | +0.7%-3.7% |
| 4WATCH | Kaelon BlackSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 7.5 Carries | 7.145% | 45% +125 1 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | Fanatics+105 | +0.6%-8.7% |
| 1WATCH | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 30.152% | 51% -106 7 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-108 | +0.1%-1.0% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 205.5 Pass Yds | 15682% | 50% -100 4 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | Novig-111 | +31.8%-4.9% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 18.5 Completions | 15.175% | 49% +105 6 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | DraftKings-105 | +26.7%-4.8% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 30.5 Pass Attempts | 24.578% | 53% -114 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | DraftKings-125 | +24.4%-4.2% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 1.5 Pass TDs | 0.8579% | 56% -126 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | ProphetX-136 | +23.3%-3.3% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Interceptions | 0.2578% | 59% -145 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX-158 | +18.7%-3.4% |
| -- | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 4.5 Carries | 5.262% | 44% +130 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Caesars+115 | +18.7%-6.4% |
| -- | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 16.5 Rush Yds | 23.567% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | ProphetX-112 | +17.2%-5.2% |
| -- | Mike EvansSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 5.5 Receptions | 4.667% | 52% -106 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | FanDuel-114 | +15.9%-3.3% |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 38.5 Rush Yds | 53.466% | 51% -103 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | BetMGM-115 | +15.7%-5.3% |
| -- | George KittleSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 5.5 Receptions | 4.569% | 53% -114 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 70% | DraftKings-117 | +15.4%-1.2% |
| -- |  Antonio WilliamsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1487% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Ben SinnottWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0595% | -- | L5 100% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Brandin CooksSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1388% | -- | L5 80% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- | Brock PurdySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2677% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Chig OkonkwoWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1288% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- | Christian McCaffreySF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 0.5 Anytime TD | 1.1669% | -- | L5 80% · L10 70% | BetMGM-250 | -- |
| -- |  Dyami BrownWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0397% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | George KittleSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.7352% | -- | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig+117 | -- |
| -- |  Jacob CowingSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jayden DanielsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4465% | -- | L5 60% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- |  John BatesWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0992% | -- | L5 80% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- | Kaelon BlackSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Luke FarrellSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0694% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Mike EvansSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.5757% | -- | L5 40% · L10 50% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Stefon DiggsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.3570% | -- | L5 60% · L10 60% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Terry McLaurinWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2479% | -- | L5 80% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Treylon BurksWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2578% | -- | L5 60% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Austin EkelerWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Brayden WillisSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Luke McCaffreyWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2082% | -- | L5 100% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Rachaad WhiteWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1785% | -- | L5 80% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Colson YankoffWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4167% | -- | L5 60% · L10 50% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Receptions | 0.6354% | -- | L5 20% · L10 60% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 40.5 Rush Yds | 45.356% | -- | L5 60% · L10 50% | Novig-111 | -- |
| -- |  Jeremy McNicholsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0397% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Kyle JuszczykSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1883% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- | Rachaad WhiteWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.0960% | -- | L5 60% · L10 60% | -- | -- |
| -- | Rachaad WhiteWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Over 20.5 Rush Yds | 27.765% | -- | L5 80% · L10 60% | Novig-9900 | -- |
| -- | Antonio WilliamsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 28.1 | -- | L10 avg 31.0 · szn 31.0 | -- | -- |
| -- | Chig OkonkwoWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 29.4 | -- | L10 avg 30.4 · szn 27.0 | -- | -- |
| -- | Chig OkonkwoWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 2.79 | -- | L10 avg 3.2 · szn 2.67 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Deebo Samuel Sr.SF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 43.6 | -- | L10 avg 39.9 · szn 41.2 | -- | -- |
| -- | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 3.3 | -- | L10 avg 3.0 · szn 3.2 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 13.1 | -- | L10 avg 16.4 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- | Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 9.4 | -- | L10 avg 11.7 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- | Mac JonesSF | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 95.8 | -- | L10 avg 125 · szn 0.00 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 18.6 | -- | L10 avg 22.0 · szn 17.0 | -- | -- |
| -- | Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 11.5 | -- | L10 avg 13.7 · szn 11.0 | -- | -- |
| -- | Marcus MariotaWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Pass Yds (no line yet) | 133 | -- | L10 avg 161 · szn 113 | -- | -- |
| -- | Stefon DiggsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 43.8 | -- | L10 avg 42.4 · szn 42.5 | -- | -- |
| -- | Stefon DiggsWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 4.0 | -- | L10 avg 4.1 · szn 4.5 | -- | -- |
| -- | Terry McLaurinWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Rec Yds (no line yet) | 53.2 | -- | L10 avg 58.2 · szn 50.8 | -- | -- |
| -- | Terry McLaurinWAS | WAS@SFMON 7:15 PM CT | Receptions (no line yet) | 3.6 | -- | L10 avg 3.9 · szn 3.5 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
How the Beezy Score works
A 0-100 strength score for one flagged price. It is not a win probability. Hover a score to see its parts.
- Edge, up to 60: 4 points per 1% of edge at the flagged price.
- Consensus, up to 20: how many other books back the fair price (3 books is 0, 12 or more is the max). Model bets have no books count and get a neutral 10.
- Hit probability, up to 20: longshots are penalised (15% to win is 0, 50% or better is the max).
Consensus and hit probability only count when there is an edge, so a price with no edge scores 0. STRONG is 70+, LEAN is 45-69, WATCH is under 45.
On 7,259 graded +EV alerts the tiers realised +25.8% (STRONG), +6.4% (LEAN) and +3.5% (WATCH) flat-stake ROI, paper, each book counted separately. The cut points were set on that same sample, so expect them to shrink going forward, and they are not yet validated for model bets.