NFL projections
LIVELines updated 14 min ago
| SCORE | PLAYER | GAME | MARKET & LINE | MODEL | MARKET FAIR | FORM | BEST PRICE | EDGE / EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57LEAN |  Bryce Young CAR | CAR@ PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Pass TDs | 1.6850% | 40% +148 11 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | ProphetX+144 | +9.5%-1.6% |
| 54LEAN | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 10.5 Rush Yds | 9.060% | 51% -102 10 bk | L5 80% · L10 50% | Parx-110 | +9.4%-3.6% |
| 48LEAN |  Jalen CokerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 4.5 Receptions | 4.652% | 45% +122 9 bk | L5 20% · L10 60% | bet365+120 | +7.2%-1.0% |
| 47LEAN |  Darren WallerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 29.5 Rec Yds | 30.952% | 50% -100 11 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Novig+106 | +2.3%+3.0%MODEL + MARKET |
| 47LEAN |  Makai LemonPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 16.5 Rec Yds | 21.862% | 50% +101 4 bk | L5 60% · L10 60% | Parx-109 | +12.4%-4.7% |
| 45LEAN |  Brycen TremayneCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Receptions | 1.1469% | 56% -127 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | bet365-145 | +12.6%-5.4% |
| 44WATCH | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 234.5 Pass Yds | 26362% | 50% -100 3 bk | L5 100% · L10 60% | Pinnacle-112 | +12.2%-5.4% |
| 43WATCH |  Dontayvion WicksPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 2.5 Receptions | 3.056% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | ProphetX-103 | +6.0%-1.5% |
| 42WATCH |  Tommy TrembleCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 13.5 Rec Yds | 17.161% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 40% | bet365-115 | +10.8%-6.5% |
| 42WATCH | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Interceptions | 0.5458% | 51% -102 6 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | ProphetX-103 | +7.9%-0.4% |
| 40WATCH |  Chuba HubbardCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 16.5 Rec Yds | 14.657% | 49% +104 5 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Parx-109 | +7.9%-6.1% |
| 40WATCH | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 34.5 Pass Attempts | 36.256% | 48% +108 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 60% | ProphetX+103 | +7.8%-2.6% |
| 38WATCH | Tommy TrembleCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 2.3065% | 56% -127 1 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | bet365-145 | +8.8%-5.4% |
| 38WATCH | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 20.5 Completions | 22.561% | 52% -110 4 bk | L5 100% · L10 70% | ProphetX-117 | +8.1%-2.7% |
| 38WATCH | Darren WallerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 2.5 Receptions | 2.8148% | 43% +132 7 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Hard Rock+125 | +5.2%-3.0% |
| 35WATCH | Dontayvion WicksPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 30.5 Rec Yds | 33.955% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | ProphetX-113 | +5.0%-5.8% |
| 32WATCH | Brycen TremayneCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 13.5 Rec Yds | 15.356% | 50% -100 1 bk | L5 40% · L10 30% | bet365-115 | +6.1%-6.5% |
| 31WATCH |  DeVonta SmithPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 4.5 Receptions | 5.561% | 55% -124 1 bk | L5 60% · L10 50% | Parx-143 | +5.3%-6.1% |
| 28WATCH |  Tetairoa McMillanCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 64.5 Rec Yds | 68.553% | 50% +102 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 60% | Novig-104 | +3.5%-2.8% |
| 16WATCH | Jalen CokerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 55.5 Rec Yds | 53.252% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Novig+102 | +2.3%+1.0%MODEL + MARKET |
| 11WATCH | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 5.5 Receptions | 5.444% | 42% +135 8 bk | L5 20% · L10 20% | Pinnacle+135 | +1.2%-0.2% |
| 7WATCH |  Dallas GoedertPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 34.5 Rec Yds | 35.051% | 50% -100 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 40% | Hard Rock-110 | +0.7%-4.5% |
| 4WATCH | DeVonta SmithPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 58.5 Rec Yds | 58.250% | 50% +101 2 bk | L5 40% · L10 70% | Parx-113 | +0.5%-6.2% |
| 3WATCH | Dallas GoedertPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 3.5 Receptions | 3.848% | 48% +108 8 bk | L5 40% · L10 50% | Novig+111 | +0.1%+1.5%MODEL + MARKET |
| -- |  Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 18.5 Completions | 7.1100% | 48% +110 6 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | DraftKings+101 | +52.3%-4.2% |
| -- |  Dameon PiercePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 15.5 Carries | 4.6100% | 48% +108 5 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | DraftKings-103 | +51.9%-5.2% |
| -- | Dameon PiercePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 1.5 Receptions | 0.5190% | 40% +149 8 bk | L5 80% · L10 83% | BetMGM+145 | +50.2%-1.7% |
| -- | Dameon PiercePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 58.5 Rush Yds | 8.1100% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | Novig-111 | +50.0%-5.0% |
| -- | Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 8.5 Rush Yds | 2.00100% | 50% -100 9 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | DraftKings-109 | +50.0%-4.1% |
| -- | Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 200.5 Pass Yds | 82.3100% | 50% -100 5 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | Parx-113 | +50.0%-5.8% |
| -- | Dameon PiercePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 11.5 Rec Yds | 0.00100% | 51% -102 8 bk | L5 100% · L10 100% | ProphetX-107 | +49.4%-2.1% |
| -- | Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 31.5 Pass Attempts | 13.2100% | 52% -108 6 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | BetRivers-121 | +48.0%-5.0% |
| -- | Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Pass TDs | 0.3074% | 34% +198 10 bk | L5 75% · L10 75% | BetRivers+190 | +40.4%-2.6% |
| -- | Chuba HubbardCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 18.5 Carries | 12.486% | 53% -113 3 bk | L5 60% · L10 80% | DraftKings-124 | +32.9%-4.2% |
| -- | Makai LemonPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 1.5 Receptions | 3.280% | 60% -149 5 bk | L5 80% · L10 80% | bet365-165 | +20.6%-4.0% |
| -- | Chuba HubbardCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 2.5 Receptions | 2.0666% | 50% +102 13 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | ProphetX+101 | +16.5%-0.4% |
| -- | Chuba HubbardCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 70.5 Rush Yds | 55.566% | 50% +100 6 bk | L5 60% · L10 70% | Novig+100 | +16.0%-0.2% |
| -- | Bryce YoungCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2181% | -- | L5 60% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- | Brycen TremayneCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Chuba HubbardCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.6552% | -- | L5 20% · L10 50% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Darius CooperPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4166% | -- | L5 40% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- | Darren WallerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4762% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- |  David MooreCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jalen CokerCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4365% | -- | L5 40% · L10 50% | -- | -- |
| -- |  John Metchie IIICAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1884% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- | Makai LemonPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Mitchell EvansCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0496% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Tanner McKeePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.4166% | -- | L5 80% · L10 70% | -- | -- |
| -- | Tommy TrembleCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0892% | -- | L5 100% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Britain CoveyPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Dallas GoedertPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.7151% | -- | L5 60% · L10 50% | FanDuel+320 | -- |
| -- | Dameon PiercePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- | Dontayvion WicksPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1686% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Elijah MoorePHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.0694% | -- | L5 100% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Feleipe FranksCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Johnny MundtPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Ja'Tavion SandersCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1388% | -- | L5 80% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Grant CalcaterraPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1487% | -- | L5 80% · L10 89% | -- | -- |
| -- | DeVonta SmithPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.2181% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Over 149.5 Pass Yds | 17566% | -- | L5 80% · L10 80% | Bovada-725 | -- |
| -- |  Trevor EtienneCAR | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.00100% | -- | L5 100% · L10 100% | -- | -- |
| -- |  Zach ErtzPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Under 0.5 Anytime TD | 0.1387% | -- | L5 100% · L10 90% | -- | -- |
| -- | Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Pass Attempts (no line yet) | 30.1 | -- | L10 avg 30.1 · szn 30.8 | -- | -- |
| -- | Jalen HurtsPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Completions (no line yet) | 17.0 | -- | L10 avg 17.7 · szn 17.8 | -- | -- |
| -- |  Saquon BarkleyPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Carries (no line yet) | 12.9 | -- | L10 avg 15.7 · szn 9.0 | -- | -- |
| -- | Saquon BarkleyPHI | CAR@PHISUN 12:00 PM CT | Rush Yds (no line yet) | 59.8 | -- | L10 avg 74.4 · szn 45.5 | -- | -- |
Model is the expected value for the stat and the probability the model gives the listed side. Market fair is the de-vigged consensus probability for that side, its American price and how many books it rests on. Form is the share of recent games that landed on the listed side of the line, or the player’s own average when there is no line. Edge is the model minus the market; the second figure is the best price against the market. Rows with no line are projections only: prices have not posted.
How the Beezy Score works
A 0-100 strength score for one flagged price. It is not a win probability. Hover a score to see its parts.
- Edge, up to 60: 4 points per 1% of edge at the flagged price.
- Consensus, up to 20: how many other books back the fair price (3 books is 0, 12 or more is the max). Model bets have no books count and get a neutral 10.
- Hit probability, up to 20: longshots are penalised (15% to win is 0, 50% or better is the max).
Consensus and hit probability only count when there is an edge, so a price with no edge scores 0. STRONG is 70+, LEAN is 45-69, WATCH is under 45.
On 7,259 graded +EV alerts the tiers realised +25.8% (STRONG), +6.4% (LEAN) and +3.5% (WATCH) flat-stake ROI, paper, each book counted separately. The cut points were set on that same sample, so expect them to shrink going forward, and they are not yet validated for model bets.