NBA projections
Sat, Oct 17· player props, the expected value beside the lineNBA projections
No NBA games are on the schedule right now. The board fills in once a slate and prices are available.
NBA systems
10 systems · unvalidated projections · not in the public results| SYSTEM | MARKET | TYPE | DISTRIBUTION | STATUS | TODAY (ROWS / PRICED) | LIVE MAE (ENGINE / L5) | RESEARCH MAE (MODEL / BASE) | BRIER | BLEND c (t) | |
|---|
| Points | Player Points | Prop | Empirical EWM + Normal | Active | -- | 5.26 / 5.52 | 4.547 / 4.634 | 0.2424 | +0.07 (+3.0) | View System -> |
| Rebounds | Player Rebounds | Prop | Empirical EWM + NegBin | Active | -- |
The board runs an empirical estimator. LIVE MAE is that estimator’s accuracy on past games against the trailing-5 average; RESEARCH MAE, Brier and blend c belong to the trained research models, which the board does not run. No projection is tracked in the public results yet, and none of these figures is edge against a price. -- means no study produced a number.