Recent
WK·COL @ ATL+0.13u|LOUTS·HOU @ NYM-0.20u|WOUTS·COL @ ATL+0.43u|LK·CWS @ MIN-0.63u|WK·BAL @ OAK+0.18u|LOUTS·PIT @ STL-0.55u|WOUTS·LAD @ DET+0.41u|LOUTS·PHI @ LAA-0.55u|WOUTS·MIA @ WSH+0.28u|LK·SD @ TB-0.16u|WK·COL @ ATL+0.13u|LOUTS·HOU @ NYM-0.20u|WOUTS·COL @ ATL+0.43u|LK·CWS @ MIN-0.63u|WK·BAL @ OAK+0.18u|LOUTS·PIT @ STL-0.55u|WOUTS·LAD @ DET+0.41u|LOUTS·PHI @ LAA-0.55u|WOUTS·MIA @ WSH+0.28u|LK·SD @ TB-0.16u|
The Edge
MLB Picks·ER

Pitcher Earned Runs

Starter quality, opponent run creation, weather, and leash context for earned-runs props.

Season ROI
-0.7%
Win Rate
52.0%
W / (W+L)
Total Bets
1633
Paper mode
Avg Edge
+9.3%
Model vs implied
200-Bet Gate1633/200
GATE CLEARED

Today’s Pitcher ER picks

No qualifying Pitcher ER picks today.

Model runs in Central Time after lineups post.

Recent results

Full history →
SYSTEM
GAME
PICK
BOOK
RESULT
P&L
Aug 17
100STRONG
ER
CWS@CHC
Shota ImanagaOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+121
imp 45%
+15.9%
draftkings
WIN
+0.8u
Aug 16
100STRONG
ER
SD@CLE
Tanner BibeeOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+110
imp 48%
+14.9%
betmgm
WIN
+0.6u
Aug 17
99STRONG
ER
OAK@KC
Michael WachaOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+117
imp 46%
+14.7%
caesars
WIN
+0.2u
Aug 17
90STRONG
ER
DET@PIT
Framber ValdezOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+101
imp 50%
+12.0%
caesars
WIN
+0.7u
Aug 16
86STRONG
ER
TEX@OAK
Cody BradfordUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
+106
imp 49%
+11.1%
betmgm
WIN
+0.5u
Aug 17
81STRONG
ER
BAL@TB
Brandon YoungOver 2.5 Earned Runs
-105
imp 51%
+10.3%
betmgm
WIN
+0.7u
Aug 16
81STRONG
ER
BAL@TB
Trevor RogersOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+105
imp 49%
+10.3%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.5u
Aug 16
72STRONG
ER
WSH@NYM
Jake IrvinOver 2.5 Earned Runs
-109
imp 52%
+8.4%
draftkings
WIN
+0.4u
Aug 17
71STRONG
ER
LAD@COL
Tomoyuki SuganoOver 3.5 Earned Runs
-109
imp 52%
+8.2%
caesars
WIN
+0.5u
Aug 16
70STRONG
ER
STL@CHC
Hunter DobbinsOver 2.5 Earned Runs
-113
imp 53%
+8.0%
caesars
LOSS
-0.4u
Aug 17
63LEAN
ER
OAK@KC
Mason BarnettUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
-115
imp 53%
+6.6%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.5u
Aug 16
63LEAN
ER
KC@LAA
Ryan JohnsonUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
-115
imp 53%
+6.7%
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 16
62LEAN
ER
PHI@MIN
Andrew PainterOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+103
imp 49%
+6.4%
caesars
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 16
62LEAN
ER
MIL@LAD
Tarik SkubalUnder 1.5 Earned Runs
+100
imp 50%
+6.5%
bet365
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 10
62LEAN
ER
TB@OAK
Jacob LopezUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
+105
imp 49%
+6.3%
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 17
61LEAN
ER
MIA@PHI
Janson JunkUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
+101
imp 50%
+6.1%
draftkings
WIN
+0.4u
Aug 16
61LEAN
ER
COL@SF
Gabriel HughesOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+114
imp 47%
+6.2%
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 17
56LEAN
ER
SD@NYM
Walker BuehlerOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+100
imp 50%
+5.1%
betmgm
LOSS
-0.4u
Aug 16
53LEAN
ER
MIA@CIN
Eury PérezUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
-130
imp 57%
+5.7%
betmgm
WIN
+0.3u
Aug 16
52LEAN
ER
BOS@PIT
Patrick SandovalOver 2.5 Earned Runs
+125
imp 44%
+4.3%
betmgm
WIN
+0.2u
ERAug 17
100STRONG
CWS@CHC
Shota ImanagaOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+121
imp 45%
EDGE
+15.9%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.8u
ERAug 16
100STRONG
SD@CLE
Tanner BibeeOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+110
imp 48%
EDGE
+14.9%
BOOK
betmgm
WIN
+0.6u
ERAug 17
99STRONG
OAK@KC
Michael WachaOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+117
imp 46%
EDGE
+14.7%
BOOK
caesars
WIN
+0.2u
ERAug 17
90STRONG
DET@PIT
Framber ValdezOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+101
imp 50%
EDGE
+12.0%
BOOK
caesars
WIN
+0.7u
ERAug 16
86STRONG
TEX@OAK
Cody BradfordUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+106
imp 49%
EDGE
+11.1%
BOOK
betmgm
WIN
+0.5u
ERAug 17
81STRONG
BAL@TB
Brandon YoungOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-105
imp 51%
EDGE
+10.3%
BOOK
betmgm
WIN
+0.7u
ERAug 16
81STRONG
BAL@TB
Trevor RogersOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+105
imp 49%
EDGE
+10.3%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.5u
ERAug 16
72STRONG
WSH@NYM
Jake IrvinOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-109
imp 52%
EDGE
+8.4%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.4u
ERAug 17
71STRONG
LAD@COL
Tomoyuki SuganoOver 3.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-109
imp 52%
EDGE
+8.2%
BOOK
caesars
WIN
+0.5u
ERAug 16
70STRONG
STL@CHC
Hunter DobbinsOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-113
imp 53%
EDGE
+8.0%
BOOK
caesars
LOSS
-0.4u
ERAug 17
63LEAN
OAK@KC
Mason BarnettUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-115
imp 53%
EDGE
+6.6%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.5u
ERAug 16
63LEAN
KC@LAA
Ryan JohnsonUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-115
imp 53%
EDGE
+6.7%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 16
62LEAN
PHI@MIN
Andrew PainterOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+103
imp 49%
EDGE
+6.4%
BOOK
caesars
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 16
62LEAN
MIL@LAD
Tarik SkubalUnder 1.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+100
imp 50%
EDGE
+6.5%
BOOK
bet365
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 10
62LEAN
TB@OAK
Jacob LopezUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+105
imp 49%
EDGE
+6.3%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 17
61LEAN
MIA@PHI
Janson JunkUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+101
imp 50%
EDGE
+6.1%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.4u
ERAug 16
61LEAN
COL@SF
Gabriel HughesOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+114
imp 47%
EDGE
+6.2%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 17
56LEAN
SD@NYM
Walker BuehlerOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+100
imp 50%
EDGE
+5.1%
BOOK
betmgm
LOSS
-0.4u
ERAug 16
53LEAN
MIA@CIN
Eury PérezUnder 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
-130
imp 57%
EDGE
+5.7%
BOOK
betmgm
WIN
+0.3u
ERAug 16
52LEAN
BOS@PIT
Patrick SandovalOver 2.5 Earned Runs
ODDS
+125
imp 44%
EDGE
+4.3%
BOOK
betmgm
WIN
+0.2u