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MLB Picks·HR

Home Run Props

Barrels, exit velocity, launch angle, pitcher HR vulnerability, park, and platoon fit.

Learn about HRbetting →
Season ROI
+6.7%
Win Rate
14.5%
W / (W+L)
Total Bets
234
Paper mode
Avg Edge
+8.2%
Model vs implied
200-Bet Gate234/200
GATE CLEARED

Today's HR Picks

SYSTEM
GAME
PICK
BOOK
RESULT
P&L
May 30
100STRONG
HR
MIA @ NYM
Juan SotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (9% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (16% HR rate)
+750
+11.0%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
100STRONG
HR
BOS @ CLE
Willson ContrerasHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (11% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (12% HR rate)
+1700
+11.7%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
100STRONG
HR
LAA @ TB
Junior CamineroHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (12% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
+850
+12.1%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
100STRONG
HR
KC @ TEX
Bobby Witt Jr.Home run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
+1400
+15.7%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
98STRONG
HR
MIL @ HOU
Christian WalkerHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (14% HR rate)
+750
+9.6%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
98STRONG
HR
DET @ CWS
Colson MontgomeryHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (22% HR rate)
+525
+9.6%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
94STRONG
HR
TOR @ BAL
Coby MayoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (9% HR rate)
+2000
+9.0%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
93STRONG
HR
SD @ WSH
Dylan CrewsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.03x)
+2700
+8.8%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
88STRONG
HR
MIN @ PIT
Bryan ReynoldsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
+1600
+8.0%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
70STRONG
HR
ATL @ CIN
JJ BledayHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (6% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
+450
+5.0%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
62LEAN
HR
ARI @ SEA
Julio RodríguezHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (10% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
+410
+3.6%
--
PENDING
--
May 30
59LEAN
HR
CHC @ STL
Alec BurlesonHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
+650
+3.1%
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
100STRONG
MIA @ NYM
Juan SotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (9% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (16% HR rate)
ODDS
+750
EDGE
+11.0%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
100STRONG
BOS @ CLE
Willson ContrerasHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (11% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (12% HR rate)
ODDS
+1700
EDGE
+11.7%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
100STRONG
LAA @ TB
Junior CamineroHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (12% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
ODDS
+850
EDGE
+12.1%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
100STRONG
KC @ TEX
Bobby Witt Jr.Home run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
ODDS
+1400
EDGE
+15.7%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
98STRONG
MIL @ HOU
Christian WalkerHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (14% HR rate)
ODDS
+750
EDGE
+9.6%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
98STRONG
DET @ CWS
Colson MontgomeryHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (22% HR rate)
ODDS
+525
EDGE
+9.6%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
94STRONG
TOR @ BAL
Coby MayoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (9% HR rate)
ODDS
+2000
EDGE
+9.0%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
93STRONG
SD @ WSH
Dylan CrewsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.03x)
ODDS
+2700
EDGE
+8.8%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
88STRONG
MIN @ PIT
Bryan ReynoldsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
ODDS
+1600
EDGE
+8.0%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
70STRONG
ATL @ CIN
JJ BledayHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (6% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
ODDS
+450
EDGE
+5.0%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
62LEAN
ARI @ SEA
Julio RodríguezHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (10% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
ODDS
+410
EDGE
+3.6%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--
HRMay 30
59LEAN
CHC @ STL
Alec BurlesonHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
ODDS
+650
EDGE
+3.1%
BOOK
--
PENDING
--

Recent Results

Full History →
SYSTEM
GAME
PICK
BOOK
RESULT
P&L
May 28
97STRONG
HR
MIN @ CWS
Byron BuxtonHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (12% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
+650
+9.5%
--
LOSS
-2.5u
May 29
94STRONG
HR
MIA @ NYM
Bo BichetteHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (8% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
+820
+9.0%
--
LOSS
-2.5u
May 29
82STRONG
HR
ARI @ SEA
Julio RodríguezHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (10% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
+523
+7.0%
--
WIN
+10.8u
May 27
81STRONG
HR
CHC @ PIT
Oneil CruzHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (14% HR rate)
+410
+6.9%
--
LOSS
-2.0u
May 28
80STRONG
HR
ATL @ BOS
Wilyer AbreuHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
>warm conditions (85°F)
+930
+6.6%
--
LOSS
-1.8u
May 27
79STRONG
HR
MIN @ CWS
Munetaka MurakamiHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (28% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.07x)
+337
+6.6%
--
WIN
+6.6u
May 29
78STRONG
HR
LAA @ TB
Junior CamineroHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (13% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
+390
+6.3%
--
LOSS
-2.0u
May 28
72STRONG
HR
HOU @ TEX
Brice MatthewsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (23% HR rate)
>hitter-friendly park (1.08x HR factor)
+810
+5.3%
--
LOSS
-1.5u
May 29
71STRONG
HR
KC @ TEX
Danny JansenHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
+800
+5.2%
--
LOSS
-1.5u
May 27
71STRONG
HR
LAA @ DET
Wenceel PérezHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
+1200
+5.1%
--
LOSS
-1.3u
May 28
70STRONG
HR
TOR @ BAL
Kazuma OkamotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (100% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.07x)
+559
+5.0%
--
LOSS
-1.4u
May 27
70STRONG
HR
CIN @ NYM
Juan SotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (9% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (16% HR rate)
+410
+5.0%
--
WIN
+5.9u
May 29
69STRONG
HR
NYY @ OAK
Shea LangeliersHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (11% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (15% HR rate)
+375
+4.9%
--
LOSS
-1.5u
May 27
69STRONG
HR
HOU @ TEX
Danny JansenHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
+680
+4.8%
--
LOSS
-1.3u
May 27
66STRONG
HR
NYY @ KC
Jac CaglianoneHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (9% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.03x)
+725
+4.4%
--
LOSS
-1.2u
May 28
64LEAN
HR
LAA @ DET
Wenceel PérezHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
+920
+4.0%
--
WIN
+9.9u
May 28
63LEAN
HR
CHC @ PIT
Ian HappHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
+700
+3.9%
--
WIN
+7.7u
May 29
60LEAN
HR
ATL @ CIN
Elly De La CruzHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.06x)
+402
+3.3%
--
LOSS
-1.0u
May 29
60LEAN
HR
CHC @ STL
Carson KellyHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (8% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (7% HR rate)
+1060
+3.4%
--
LOSS
-0.9u
May 29
59LEAN
HR
TOR @ BAL
Kazuma OkamotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (100% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (18% HR rate)
+437
+3.2%
--
WIN
+4.3u
HRMay 28
97STRONG
MIN @ CWS
Byron BuxtonHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (12% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
ODDS
+650
EDGE
+9.5%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-2.5u
HRMay 29
94STRONG
MIA @ NYM
Bo BichetteHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (8% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (10% HR rate)
ODDS
+820
EDGE
+9.0%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-2.5u
HRMay 29
82STRONG
ARI @ SEA
Julio RodríguezHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (10% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
ODDS
+523
EDGE
+7.0%
BOOK
--
WIN
+10.8u
HRMay 27
81STRONG
CHC @ PIT
Oneil CruzHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (14% HR rate)
ODDS
+410
EDGE
+6.9%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-2.0u
HRMay 28
80STRONG
ATL @ BOS
Wilyer AbreuHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
>warm conditions (85°F)
ODDS
+930
EDGE
+6.6%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.8u
HRMay 27
79STRONG
MIN @ CWS
Munetaka MurakamiHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (28% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.07x)
ODDS
+337
EDGE
+6.6%
BOOK
--
WIN
+6.6u
HRMay 29
78STRONG
LAA @ TB
Junior CamineroHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (13% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (19% HR rate)
ODDS
+390
EDGE
+6.3%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-2.0u
HRMay 28
72STRONG
HOU @ TEX
Brice MatthewsHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (23% HR rate)
>hitter-friendly park (1.08x HR factor)
ODDS
+810
EDGE
+5.3%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.5u
HRMay 29
71STRONG
KC @ TEX
Danny JansenHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
ODDS
+800
EDGE
+5.2%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.5u
HRMay 27
71STRONG
LAA @ DET
Wenceel PérezHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
ODDS
+1200
EDGE
+5.1%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.3u
HRMay 28
70STRONG
TOR @ BAL
Kazuma OkamotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (100% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.07x)
ODDS
+559
EDGE
+5.0%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.4u
HRMay 27
70STRONG
CIN @ NYM
Juan SotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (9% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (16% HR rate)
ODDS
+410
EDGE
+5.0%
BOOK
--
WIN
+5.9u
HRMay 29
69STRONG
NYY @ OAK
Shea LangeliersHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (11% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (15% HR rate)
ODDS
+375
EDGE
+4.9%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.5u
HRMay 27
69STRONG
HOU @ TEX
Danny JansenHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (7% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (13% HR rate)
ODDS
+680
EDGE
+4.8%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.3u
HRMay 27
66STRONG
NYY @ KC
Jac CaglianoneHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (9% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.03x)
ODDS
+725
EDGE
+4.4%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.2u
HRMay 28
64LEAN
LAA @ DET
Wenceel PérezHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (8% HR rate)
ODDS
+920
EDGE
+4.0%
BOOK
--
WIN
+9.9u
HRMay 28
63LEAN
CHC @ PIT
Ian HappHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
ODDS
+700
EDGE
+3.9%
BOOK
--
WIN
+7.7u
HRMay 29
60LEAN
ATL @ CIN
Elly De La CruzHome run prop
>strong vs RHP (11% HR rate)
>above-avg HR park (1.06x)
ODDS
+402
EDGE
+3.3%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-1.0u
HRMay 29
60LEAN
CHC @ STL
Carson KellyHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (8% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (7% HR rate)
ODDS
+1060
EDGE
+3.4%
BOOK
--
LOSS
-0.9u
HRMay 29
59LEAN
TOR @ BAL
Kazuma OkamotoHome run prop
>strong vs LHP (100% HR rate)
>strong vs RHP (18% HR rate)
ODDS
+437
EDGE
+3.2%
BOOK
--
WIN
+4.3u