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The Edge
MLB Picks·Outs

Pitcher Outs

Pitch efficiency, innings-per-start trend, bullpen availability, and opponent OBP.

Season ROI
+2.3%
Win Rate
48.6%
W / (W+L)
Total Bets
2687
Paper mode
Avg Edge
+4.3%
Model vs implied
200-Bet Gate2687/200
GATE CLEARED

Today’s Outs picks

No qualifying Outs picks today.

Model runs in Central Time after lineups post.

Recent results

Full history →
SYSTEM
GAME
PICK
BOOK
RESULT
P&L
Sep 5
100STRONG
Outs
TB@TEX
Jacob deGromUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (6 days rest)
-103
imp 51%
+15.1%
betmgm
LOSS
-0.5u
Sep 5
100STRONG
Outs
ATL@PHI
Zack WheelerUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+113
imp 47%
+18.1%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.5u
Sep 5
94STRONG
Outs
TOR@KC
Seth LugoUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.1 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (5 days rest)
-110
imp 52%
+12.8%
fanduel
WIN
+0.5u
Sep 5
89STRONG
Outs
WSH@LAD
Tyler GlasnowUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>deep into games recently (6.0 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (5 days rest)
+140
imp 42%
+11.9%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.3u
Sep 5
77STRONG
Outs
NYY@SD
Carlos RodónUnder 14.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+144
imp 41%
+9.3%
betmgm
LOSS
-0.3u
Sep 5
76STRONG
Outs
MIN@CWS
Anthony KayOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.5 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+121
imp 45%
+9.3%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.3u
Sep 5
76STRONG
Outs
STL@COL
Mason AdamsOver 13.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (5 days rest)
-136
imp 58%
+10.1%
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
Sep 5
74STRONG
Outs
ARI@HOU
Brandon PfaadtUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>deep into games recently (6.3 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+112
imp 47%
+8.8%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.3u
Sep 4
72STRONG
Outs
CHC@MIA
Shota ImanagaUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (7 days rest)
+120
imp 45%
+8.5%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.4u
Sep 4
72STRONG
Outs
ATL@PHI
Chris SaleUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.8 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+121
imp 45%
+8.5%
caesars
LOSS
-0.3u
Sep 5
62LEAN
Outs
DET@CLE
Framber ValdezUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.7 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+100
imp 50%
+6.3%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.2u
Sep 4
62LEAN
Outs
MIL@CIN
Rhett LowderOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.8 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+120
imp 45%
+6.3%
betmgm
LOSS
-0.2u
Sep 4
61LEAN
Outs
ARI@HOU
Merrill KellyUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (5 days rest)
+120
imp 45%
+6.1%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.4u
Sep 5
57LEAN
Outs
OAK@SEA
George KirbyUnder 18.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.3 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
-153
imp 60%
+6.4%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.2u
Sep 4
55LEAN
Outs
BOS@BAL
Shane BazUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.5 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (6 days rest)
+103
imp 49%
+4.9%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.1u
Sep 4
55LEAN
Outs
CHC@MIA
Shota ImanagaUnder 15.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (7 days rest)
+100
imp 50%
+4.9%
draftkings
LOSS
-0.1u
Sep 5
54LEAN
Outs
STL@COL
Matthew LiberatoreUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>solid innings load (5.1 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (5 days rest)
-166
imp 62%
+5.8%
fanduel
WIN
+0.1u
Sep 5
53LEAN
Outs
WSH@LAD
Cade CavalliOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
>deep into games recently (6.1 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (5 days rest)
+108
imp 48%
+4.5%
fanduel
WIN
+0.2u
Sep 5
53LEAN
Outs
SF@NYM
Zac ThorntonUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
>well-rested (5 days rest)
+100
imp 50%
+4.7%
caesars
WIN
+0.1u
Sep 5
51LEAN
Outs
BOS@BAL
Sonny GrayUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
>deep into games recently (6.1 IP avg L5)
>well-rested (5 days rest)
+108
imp 48%
+4.2%
fanduel
LOSS
-0.1u
OutsSep 5
100STRONG
TB@TEX
Jacob deGromUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
-103
imp 51%
EDGE
+15.1%
BOOK
betmgm
LOSS
-0.5u
OutsSep 5
100STRONG
ATL@PHI
Zack WheelerUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+113
imp 47%
EDGE
+18.1%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.5u
OutsSep 5
94STRONG
TOR@KC
Seth LugoUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.1 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
-110
imp 52%
EDGE
+12.8%
BOOK
fanduel
WIN
+0.5u
OutsSep 5
89STRONG
WSH@LAD
Tyler GlasnowUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·deep into games recently (6.0 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
+140
imp 42%
EDGE
+11.9%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.3u
OutsSep 5
77STRONG
NYY@SD
Carlos RodónUnder 14.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+144
imp 41%
EDGE
+9.3%
BOOK
betmgm
LOSS
-0.3u
OutsSep 5
76STRONG
MIN@CWS
Anthony KayOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.5 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+121
imp 45%
EDGE
+9.3%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.3u
OutsSep 5
76STRONG
STL@COL
Mason AdamsOver 13.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
-136
imp 58%
EDGE
+10.1%
BOOK
draftkings
WIN
+0.3u
OutsSep 5
74STRONG
ARI@HOU
Brandon PfaadtUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·deep into games recently (6.3 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+112
imp 47%
EDGE
+8.8%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.3u
OutsSep 4
72STRONG
CHC@MIA
Shota ImanagaUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (7 days rest)
ODDS
+120
imp 45%
EDGE
+8.5%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.4u
OutsSep 4
72STRONG
ATL@PHI
Chris SaleUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.8 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+121
imp 45%
EDGE
+8.5%
BOOK
caesars
LOSS
-0.3u
OutsSep 5
62LEAN
DET@CLE
Framber ValdezUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.7 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+100
imp 50%
EDGE
+6.3%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.2u
OutsSep 4
62LEAN
MIL@CIN
Rhett LowderOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.8 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+120
imp 45%
EDGE
+6.3%
BOOK
betmgm
LOSS
-0.2u
OutsSep 4
61LEAN
ARI@HOU
Merrill KellyUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
+120
imp 45%
EDGE
+6.1%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.4u
OutsSep 5
57LEAN
OAK@SEA
George KirbyUnder 18.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.3 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
-153
imp 60%
EDGE
+6.4%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.2u
OutsSep 4
55LEAN
BOS@BAL
Shane BazUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.5 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (6 days rest)
ODDS
+103
imp 49%
EDGE
+4.9%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.1u
OutsSep 4
55LEAN
CHC@MIA
Shota ImanagaUnder 15.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (7 days rest)
ODDS
+100
imp 50%
EDGE
+4.9%
BOOK
draftkings
LOSS
-0.1u
OutsSep 5
54LEAN
STL@COL
Matthew LiberatoreUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·solid innings load (5.1 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
-166
imp 62%
EDGE
+5.8%
BOOK
fanduel
WIN
+0.1u
OutsSep 5
53LEAN
WSH@LAD
Cade CavalliOver 15.5 Outs Recorded
·deep into games recently (6.1 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
+108
imp 48%
EDGE
+4.5%
BOOK
fanduel
WIN
+0.2u
OutsSep 5
53LEAN
SF@NYM
Zac ThorntonUnder 16.5 Outs Recorded
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
+100
imp 50%
EDGE
+4.7%
BOOK
caesars
WIN
+0.1u
OutsSep 5
51LEAN
BOS@BAL
Sonny GrayUnder 17.5 Outs Recorded
·deep into games recently (6.1 IP avg L5)
·well-rested (5 days rest)
ODDS
+108
imp 48%
EDGE
+4.2%
BOOK
fanduel
LOSS
-0.1u